To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (133826 ) 5/28/2012 11:09:07 AM From: TideGlider 1 Recommendation Respond to of 224704 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll Related Articles Monday, May 28, 2012 The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting 45% of the vote, while President Obama earns 44% support. Four percent (4%) would vote for a third party candidate, and another six percent (6%) are undecided. Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update ). The candidates have been within two points of each other on every day but one for two full weeks. Romney has led on seven of those 14 days, Obama on six, and they have been tied once. See tracking history . This Memorial Day, half of all Americans will do something special to honor those who have given their lives for their country . Forty-five percent (45%) have had a close friend or relative make that sacrifice . Eighty-two percent (82%) have a favorable opinion of the U.S. military. (President Obama’s Job Approval Ratings Below) A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 49% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty percent (50%) at least somewhat disapprove ( see trends ). Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Democrats offer their approval, while 81% of Republicans disapprove. Among those not affiliated with either major political party, 44% approve, and 54% disapprove. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of women approve of the job the president is doing, but 58% of men disapprove. Check out our review of last week’s key polls to see “What They Told Us.” In his weekly syndicated column, Scott Rasmussen notes that politicians talking about "austerity" in budgets is just political cover for more government spending. But, he argues, “cutting government spending is seen by voters as a way to free more resources for the private sector. In other words, austerity for the government leads to prosperity for the nation.” If you’d like Scott Rasmussen to speak to your organization, meeting, or conference, please contact Premiere Speakers. The Wall Street Journal has called him “America’s leading insurgent pollster,” and The Washington Post says Scott is a “driving force in American politics.” To get a sense of longer-term Job Approval trends for the president, Rasmussen Reports also compiles our tracking data on a full month-by-month basis. (Daily Approval Index Updates Below) Intensity of support or opposition can have an impact on campaigns. Currently, 26% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -14 ( see trends ). Among women, the Presidential Approval Index rating is -1. Among men, it is -28. Fifty-six percent (56%) of Democrats Strongly Approve, while 70% of Republicans Strongly Disapprove. Among those not affiliated with either major party, 13% Strongly Approve, and 40% Strongly Disapprove. During midterm elections, intensity of support can have a tremendous impact on turnout. That was demonstrated in 2010 when Republicans and unaffiliated voters turned out in large numbers to express opposition to the Obama administration’s policies. However, in presidential election years, there is a smaller impact on turnout. (More Below) Rasmussen Reports is a media company whose work is followed by millions on a wide variety of platforms. We regularly release our results at RasmussenReports.com , through a daily email newsletter , a nationally syndicated radio news service , an online video service and a weekly newspaper column distributed by Creators Syndicate . A nationally syndicated TV show-- What America Thinks --is scheduled for launch in September 2012. Our firm has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology ( see methodology ). Pollsters for Presidents Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton have cited our " unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy ." During Election 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected that Barack Obama would defeat John McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama was 53% to 46%. In 2004, Rasmussen Reports was the only firm to project the vote totals for both candidates within half a percentage point. Learn more about the Rasmussen Reports track record over the years . Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members . Like all organizations that conduct public opinion polls, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large ( see methodology ). It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. Obama's numbers are almost always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That's because some of the president's most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote. Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. While partisan affiliation is generally quite stable over time, there are a fair number of people who waver between allegiance to a particular party or independent status. Our baseline targets are established based upon separate survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews) and targets are updated monthly. Currently, the baseline targets for the adult population are 35.8% Republicans, 33.0% Democrats, and 31.2% unaffiliated. Likely voter samples typically show a slightly larger advantage for the Republicans