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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Box-By-The-Riviera™ who wrote (90788)5/30/2012 10:08:01 PM
From: carranza2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217895
 
Yes, drama galore.

I can't find anything on 10 year rates before 1952 or so and I've looked quite a bit. Tired of looking.

I figure tipping point is anything below 1.600. Why? Can't say, intuition.



To: Box-By-The-Riviera™ who wrote (90788)5/31/2012 8:07:21 AM
From: bart13  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217895
 
There's more than a little uncertainty in the historical data.

The Federal Reserve has a data series called 'long term government bond yields' that shows a low of 1.98% hit in both July and October 1941. But it does not specify what 'long term' means.
Per Roger Ibbotson of Yale, the all time low was actually 0.92% in April of 1942.
The WSJ reported the all time low as 1.672% set in February of 1946.

I also show a low of 1.71% in Dec. 1941 - from the Fed's "Banking Stats..." publication.