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To: Return to Sender who wrote (56491)6/3/2012 7:00:57 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95411
 
Yes, I didn't mean that any of us either individually or as a group could find the bottom with certainty, and obviously as you pointed out in an earlier post, in the final analysis, everyone needs to make their own decisions about what to buy, when to buy, etc, and each of us needs to take responsibility for their own decision.

Having said that, I think that many of us on this thread have a very good "feel" for what is going on in the market. I look back 15 years at my own understanding and performance in the market compared to today and there is no comparison. Much of that of course is not due solely to my effort, but is also due to the many tools available to all investors on a real time basis through the application of semiconductors.

I don't expect to be "right on the button" all the time. I just want to catch the major part of these up and down cycles. I think that goal is much easier now than it used to be and is achievable with the tools and knowledge that we have.

Don



To: Return to Sender who wrote (56491)6/3/2012 9:02:53 PM
From: Sam2 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95411
 
At some point we are going to have to take a leap of faith.

The only thing we know for sure is that the bottom will come when we are all scared sh_tless, and can't make a move because we are afraid of going broke. We will feel that this is the Big Kahuna (really!!!), as they used to call it, and maybe some still do. The others were fakeouts, but this one is the Real Deal. Look at that 800t of derivatives that some people pretend will make them safe and whole, lol (shades of "portfolio insurance" of '87), The govt will backstop it. Yeah, right. Paper money was a grand experiment, we will say, but that is over, back to gold and silver and barter.

When we can't fathom why anyone would buy a share of stock--a piece of paper in a company far far away with management that is basically in it for themselves not for its putative "owners"--that will be the time to buy. And most of us will kick ourselves a year later, because that is the way Mr. Market with his perverse comedic persona works.