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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (91394)6/12/2012 6:14:35 AM
From: elmatador1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218381
 
Hong Kong urged to review dollar peg and consider linking with RMB, might be better served by adopting a flexible exchange rate regime Forcing Hong Kong to import monetary policy from the US – now at ultra-loose settings – the peg has in recent years contributed to soaring inflation and property prices.

Mr Yam, who retired from the HKMA, argues that breaking the peg system would allow Hong Kong policy makers to set monetary policy and tackle inflation. But he stressed that the government could equally argue that the risks of depegging the currency would be too great.

Hong Kong urged to review dollar peg

By Robert Cookson and Enid Tsui in Hong Kong

Hong Kong should review its peg to the US dollar and consider linking to the renminbi, according to Joseph Yam, former head of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority.

Mr Yam, who waged war against George Soros and other speculators to protect the peg during the Asian financial crisis, said Hong Kong might be better served by adopting a flexible exchange rate regime.“Nothing is absolute or sacrosanct,” said Mr Yam, who ran the HKMA for 16 years until he retired in 2009.

Mr Yam added that the HKMA’s desire to maintain the peg was an “obsession or even paranoid”.

Responding to Mr Yam, John Tsang, Hong Kong financial secretary, said on Thursday: “Let me reiterate in no uncertain terms, I see no need and we have no intention to change the currency peg.”

Mr Yam, 64, was an employee at the HKMA in October 1983 when Hong Kong, then a British colony, adopted a currency board mechanism to put an end to destabilising foreign exchange volatility.

Economists say the mechanism that links the Hong Kong and US currencies at a rate of HK$7.80 to one greenback has served the city well since its introduction 28 years ago, surviving repeated attacks from speculators.

By pegging to the US dollar, the currency used for the vast majority of international trade and investment, Hong Kong has attracted international business and minimised the risk of foreign exchange volatility.

But by forcing Hong Kong to import monetary policy from the US – now at ultra-loose settings – the peg has in recent years contributed to soaring inflation and property prices.

Mr Yam, who retired from the HKMA, argues that breaking the peg system would allow Hong Kong policy makers to set monetary policy and tackle inflation. But he stressed that the government could equally argue that the risks of depegging the currency would be too great.

An adviser to the mainland Chinese central bank, Mr Yam said that if Hong Kong maintains a peg, the question was whether “in the fullness of time” the anchor should be the renminbi rather than the US dollar.

The former HKMA chief, who was once the world’s highest paid central banker, said he had not discussed his position with Hong Kong policy makers. But he acknowledged that the market would be sensitive to the fact that he had openly raised the issue, given his past role.

Both Leung Chun-ying, the incoming Hong Kong chief executive, and Norman Chan, the current HKMA chief, have both stressed that the dollar peg remains the best option for Hong Kong. Mr Chan has said the government has “no intention” of changing the system.

Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2012. You may share using our article tools.
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To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (91394)6/12/2012 6:30:01 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 218381
 
Another 50% drop and we can start buying Europe to make money

Sent: Monday, June 11, 2012 11:08 PM
Subject: Some interesting facts from HSBC



Unbelievable, but true!

The market cap of the Italian Financial sector is now the same as the
market cap of Colgate-Palmolive ($47bn).

The market cap of all Euro-zone Financials ($361bn) is less than that of
Canadian Financials ($377bn).

The market cap of Spain and Italy equities combined ($396bn) barely exceeds
that of Taiwan ($368bn).

The market cap of Portugal equities ($16.4bn) is the same as that of Whole
Foods, the 191st largest stock in the S&P 500.

The market cap of Greece equities ($5.8bn) is the same as that of
TripAdvisor, the 400th largest company in the S&P 500.

The CDS of Portugal exceeds Veneuela's, the CDS of Italy exceeds Lebanon's
and the CDS of Spain substantially exceeds Iraq's.

Bond markets seem to be indicating the world is coming to an end:

The US 10 year Treasury yield (1.56%) is just 1bp away from its 200-year
low of 1.55% set in November 1945.

The Dutch 10 year government bond yield (1.61%) is the lowest in the past
500
years.

The German 10 year bund yield (1.20%) is the lowest in the past 200 years
(bar the hyperinflation period of 1923/1924).

The French 10 year government bond yield (2.36%) is at a 260-year low.

The UK 5 year government bond yield is at a 110 year low