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Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: tejek who wrote (115362)6/14/2012 12:49:23 PM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 149317
 
I don't want inflation. I think you missed the point of those charts. When do prices show deflationary tendencies? I'll tell you what all economists know. They do that when the economy is slowing dramatically....when demand is shrinking relative to supply, which drives prices down. That is what we are seeing. That is telling you in great, big, bold, red letters "RECESSION AHEAD". It's what I've been telling you for 9 months. We'd see the beginning of a recession in the first half of 2012. It's here. Careful how you invest in this environment. Investing as if we are recovering (no matter how much you want to believe that) may be seriously harmful to your economic health. When Operation Twist, which is currently levitating the stock market, is over at the end of June, this stock market will deflate like a balloon with a hole in it. The only thing between us and that outcome is the Fed meeting at the end of June. If they don't announce another QE or similar initiative, then this balloon will deflate and very fast.

All I'm saying is be careful. Now is not the time for bravado in investing. The stock market is a casino right now. The house always wins in times like these. So unless you work for Jamie Dimon, don't count on being a winner right now in the stock market.