SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: tejek who wrote (115667)6/22/2012 11:22:52 AM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 149317
 
BTW, despite all of Bernanke's wrong-headed efforts, cheered on by Krugman, I think we're finding out that feeding the economy crack was never destined to solve the root causes. The economy is in real trouble, because those root causes were never addressed. There's too much debt in the system and there are too many criminals that Obama has refused to prosecute, who are running the system.

-----------------

Philly Fed: Now THAT Is A Disaster

There's bad, there's really bad, but when you just can't deal with the ordinary bad you need yesterday's Philly Fed survey:

Firms responding to the June Business Outlook Survey indicated weaker business conditions this month. The survey’s indicators for general activity, new orders, shipments, and average work hours were all negative this month, suggesting overall declines in business. Input price pressures were less in evidence this month, with more firms reporting declines in input prices. And for the second consecutive month, more firms reported declines in prices for their products than reported increases. The survey’s indicators of future activity remained positive and improved slightly, suggesting that the current weakness in activity is expected to be short]lived.
Riiight.The market was having none of it and sold off over 200 DOW points.

IMHO, with good cause too. Everything except employment was negative; the most-worrisome of employees was that the workweek contracted for a second consecutive month, strongly implying that we're on the verge of (if not entering right now) an actual recessionary-style slowdown.

The Philly index tends to be one of the better ones when it comes to predictive value. None of these are especially good on a single-month basis, but this is the second bad report in a row, and the broad deterioration suggests trouble dead ahead.

The number of economic indicators that have aligned of late showing significant weakness is starting to become rather difficult to ignore, despite the desire of those who claim we're in a "recovery."

Frankly, this looks a lot like the "recovery" we had after 1929, for the same reasons -- we didn't purge the bad debt and overcapacity, instead choosing to protect the imprudent.

We all know what came next.