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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (91819)6/23/2012 5:38:40 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217576
 
Related to your subject

tabletmag.com

From the close of World War I, the great prize of the Middle East has been the Persian Gulf. During the Cold War, America and its allies in Europe and Asia depended upon its oil for 90 percent of their energy needs; developing countries would be instantly crippled by a sharp hike in oil prices. But for the Soviets, attaining control of the Gulf could be achieved only by direct military aggression. Following the return of British forces to Kuwait in 1961 to defend the Emirate from Iraq’s Abd al-Karim Qasim—whose ambitions for Kuwait were subsequently, if temporarily, realized by Saddam Hussein—it became clear to the Soviets that the West would go to any length to defend the oil. “And so the comrades postponed the conquest of the Gulf,” writes Stroilov, “although some of them were sorely disappointed with that decision.”

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Two of Bukovsky’s documents appear in English for the first time in Behind the Desert Storm. The first is Yuri Andropov’s memo to Leonid Brezhnev in 1974 detailing a KGB meeting with Palestinian terrorist Wadie Haddad. It recommends that the Soviet government provide material support to Haddad’s Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine. The second is the transcript of a 1984 Politburo meeting approving the shipment of 15 million rubles’ worth of weapons and ammunition to the Democratic Front for the Liberation of Palestine in exchange for a collection of ancient art. The invention of modern terrorism: All credit is due to the Kremlin.

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GORBACHEV. But where did you get money from? Is it flowing in the Nile?

MUBARAK. We had to borrow a lot. […] Everyone has debts in today’s world. […] Americans owe money to the Japanese, but Bush does not pay. So what, will Japan declare war to the US? […] I told Reagan that the Soviet Union had never charged any interest for its loans to us. We no longer borrow money from the US. We only accept non-repayable aid, when they are prepared to give it. […]

GORBACHEV. How much is your total debt?

MUBARAK. 50 billion dollars. […] But we can always negotiate on the debts and get postponement of payments again and again. Nowadays, almost nobody repays debts. I’m talking to you absolutely frankly.

Subsequently, Mubarak said:

I would like to tell you that we continue military cooperation with the USA. They give us $1,3 bn. aid. We still cannot do without it: we need spare parts for military equipment, and so on. But time will come when things turn in different direction. I am telling this to you absolutely frankly.

Pleased by this, Gorbachev thereafter kept it in mind that turning Egypt away from the United States might be feasible. Meanwhile, he worked strenuously to unite the Red Arabs with the aim of expelling the United States completely from the region. In page upon page of these transcripts, we see him striving toward this goal, particularly in his meetings with Hafez Assad:

GORBACHEV. […] The Soviet Union, given the capabilities it has, is also prepared to contribute to the unification of the Arab ranks. Of course, our enemies won’t miss the opportunity to present our honest efforts as “Moscow’s conspiracy,” so we should act accurately and carefully. In any case, you can count on our support. [...] A success of this cause would be a great historic victory with tremendous consequences.

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Rather than ousting Saddam and pressuring the Soviet Union—which now had only a few months left to live—to withdraw its influence from the Middle East, Bush prioritized placating Gorbachev over aggressively pressing the United States’ advantage. In Stroilov’s view, these regimes could and should have been overthrown 20 years ago. That they were not, he argues, was because the Middle East was the domain Gorbachev was determined to retain and because Americans, naively enchanted by his charisma, allowed themselves to be hoodwinked.



To: carranza2 who wrote (91819)6/23/2012 7:01:01 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 217576
 
Re Russia, Iran, oil pricing theory
Certainly possible
Plausible enough to merit attention
Could even be probable
Oil is certainly cheaper now for a wager to go higher rather than lower

The various situations around the world seem quite messy, and perhaps too connected
Connected and messy situation cluster is prospectively dangerous, especially when covered w/ overarching debt-ly monetary simmer - I.e. our money is disintegrating

I shall visit Bali and Jakarta later next week through 1st few days of July. Just did a one-night round in Manila to see all is more okay than not.

Summer holiday about to commence july 16 and I would be best able to deal with crisis as I shall have little else to do except driving wife and mom to obtain daily bread. I have already loaded up on euro bills so that we have liquidity acceptable in local shops and not be at the whim of local banks.

I am suspicious that the French do not sense coming crisis because of their lifestyle and ambiance of surroundings. An astute money manager friend got uncharacteristically clobbered in the Lehman crisis as he held on to too much Lehman shares upon early retirement at age 40, in 1999. I suspect his life style (changing in n out of 5 pairs of swimming trunks per 24 hours) and location in Kailua and Waikiki had much to do with the detailing of the overall experience.

I aim to stay sharp, ever mindful of what happened to me last year when I enjoyed a temporary high of gold value immediately after a large buy of same, feeling better than good, then came out of vacation dumbed down but happy to the point of carefree, then icky September happened, followed by bad October, tagged by terrible November, and capped by dreadful December. Intending this year to end on a high note.



To: carranza2 who wrote (91819)6/24/2012 9:50:19 AM
From: dvdw©  Respond to of 217576
 
For more than a year crude stocks have been rising up to and beyond Cushings capacity to store and move it.

During this same period gas and oil prices in USA have been a reflection of Brent pricing, under the premise /rationalization that Brent is the world market price and local demand (usa) needs to be priced at world prices.

This input copied below from Sober Look, now attempts to frame the subject in reverse.

soberlook.com

USA has always been accused of consuming too much of the worlds oil at too low a price...Price needed to be imposed by Brent, and world oil speculators have positioned themselves according to the Specific needs of Brent producers....regardless of any disconnects in supply variables.

This disconnect is telling all of us about a contradiction, and all contradiction are too be found, than faded, by counterprogramming under the terms of The Variable Time Shapes of Capital.

RO/RS=CF.....rules

distinguish between those contriving any scenario by the information content of their sensory organs.