SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Spekulatius who wrote (48864)7/24/2012 11:11:08 AM
From: waver99  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78748
 
Thanks Clown, Paul for the replies.

Checking the corn price charts, I notice that corn is already at multi-year highs, am not sure how much higher it will go.

Based on my calculation, and taking into account a 10% increase in corn prices, i.e. a $50mil hit to pre-tax earnings,

SFD EV/EBIT would be 7.06,

Earnings power value = $35 per share

at 20% increase in corn prices,

EV/EBIT would be 7.62.

Earnings power value = $33 per share

This implies a significant margin of safety, though I am not sure if my calculations are 100% accurate.

P.S. Enterprise value I calculated at roughly 4.75 billion

P.P.S. EPV is a concept I learnt reading Applied Value Investing, and hope to get your thoughts on the valutation models explained

Cheers,
XC