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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bentway who wrote (195760)8/4/2012 12:20:41 PM
From: Sam  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 542059
 
"But Intrade isn't just about betting. Its users are -- taken together -- shockingly good at correctly forecasting election results.Intrade bettors correctly picked the winner of every single state during the 2004 presidential election. In 2008, they missed two -- wrongly calling Indiana for John McCain and Missouri for Barack Obam

Yes, but at what point in the election cycle? The day before the election? The week before? Are their predictions in August "shockingly" accurate?