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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bentway who wrote (665754)8/5/2012 2:10:56 AM
From: i-node  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1574001
 
>> This is especially true now that it seems as if Pennsylvania isn't really up for grabs.

The last reputable poll (the last one without a built-in bias toward Obama) had Obama at +4.

>> the more you come to conclude that Mitt Romney has to draw an inside straight like you've never ever seen in a movie to win this thing.

The odds of drawing an inside straight are typically about 8%. Romney's odds are considerably better than that.

He needs to win FL (currently tied/within the margin of error), VA (currently tied/within the margin of error) and OH or PA, both leaning Romney, plus one of NV, CO or IA.

And there are a half dozen blue states that could easily flip to Romney.

Anyone who calls it for Obama at this point is a damned fool.