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Politics : Mainstream Politics and Economics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Little Joe who wrote (22409)8/6/2012 5:52:56 PM
From: gamesmistress  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 85487
 
.."direct the unenlightened among us to successful climate model?"

That is what I've always wanted to see. Have ANY of the "climate experts" accurately predicted - because that is what they're doing, and what they want the government to make policy on - what the world climate, or US climate, or whatever will be doing in 5, 10, 20 years? And worse, their "predictions" may seem to occur, yet reverse themselves shortly after that - i.e., Arctic Sea ice. Anyone else remember the "the world is entering a new Ice Age" scare in the 1970's?

Koan said, "scientists and statisticians can take the information they have and work out probability tables e.g. the dramatic increase in major weather events worldwide." What makes them think the information they have is complete enough to predict the future accurately? So far it's been more like GIGO.



To: Little Joe who wrote (22409)8/6/2012 6:40:46 PM
From: koan  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 85487
 
<<WEll Koan if that is the case, can you direct the unenlightened among us to successful climate model?>>

I doubt you would recognize it if I did. But James Hansen's model has been on the mark for 30 years.