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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: 2MAR$ who wrote (93816)

8/22/2012 2:29:02 PM

From: 2MAR$

Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 219497

FOMC Minutes , Gold liking this:

Many Fed members say new asset purchases would boost economy

"Many" members of the Fed's Open Market Committee said that a new round of asset purchases by the central bank could provide "additional support" for the economy, minutes of the committee's last meeting showed. Some members said that a new round of quantitative easing could increase business and consumer confidence. Some participants questioned whether purchasing additional treasuries would boost the economy, however. Additional Treasury purchases could endanger financial stability or increase longer term inflation expectations, a few members warned. As far as the Fed's economic outlook, members agreed that data indicated that economic growth had decelerated in recent months to a slower pace than they had anticipated. Some participants lowered their outlook for economic growth, and many members believed that uncertainty about ripple effects from the euro area and uncertainty about regulatory and fiscal policies was holding back household and business spending. Some members were concerned that the recovery could be derailed by adverse shocks.

To: 2MAR$ who wrote (93816)	8/25/2012 8:59:14 PM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 219497

Just sent On 26 Aug, 2012, at 8:53 AM, J wrote: ... If so, am supposed to sell into September? F689{}%~>\k no Though I hesitate, waver, cower, ... http://armstrongeconomics.com/2012/08/25/gold-the-computer/ Gold & The Computer Many people have been writing about the computer forecast for gold on the monthly level and are astonished how it can write a report on time. TIME is an entirely different dimension and it must be respected as a entirely separate field. No individual is capable of forecasting the future with consistency. Perhaps there was a fight with a spouse or a conflict with the IRS. Such things emotionally distract an individual and as a result, they forget some thing to check or they are just too domestically focused. Others are “married” to a position. Some are married to an idea as with gold and will NEVER say sell – only buy. That is not analysis, it is dogma. To be consistent it takes the UNEMOTIONAL perspective. This is true in government where self-interest prevents politicians from being objective or analysts from just calling it as it is without being biased. The computer model is nearly functioning monitoring the entire world 24/7. This has been a major effort with people around the world. We will in the future have a special event in Switzerland where people will be able to talk to the computer and ask it questions. For now, this is what it wrote and was published for the December Conference last year that has so many astonished for it does not matter about the fundamental news. If it is a declining market, good news is never good enough. If it is a rising market, bad news is ignored. Trends are NOT easily reversed. They must play out their TIME. So all the nonsense about manipulating the world economy or that I am some gold hater because I dare to say it is like all markets, it goes up and down, just fall to the ground as dust in the wind. Markets will do what they do according to TIME. It is vital to understand the concept of turning points. It is never about who is right or wrong. That is for children – mommy he did this! Grow up. This is about surviving the future – not selling bullish ideas. “MONTHLY TIMING Looking at our empirical models, the ideal primary target for the next turning point appears to be March 2012* thereafter we see a two-month move in the opposite direction initially there appears to be a fairly large change in Trend developing in September of 2012 which can lead to a move into the January 2013. Therefore if March unfolds as a reaction high we could see a retest of support in May with a reaction high into August for Labor Day and a decline into a final low in January 2013. It is clear that January 2013 should be a very important target. If that is a low then we should be able to see a significant rally into 2017 thereafter.” Sometimes a computer is the clearest way to see the future. It is not biased and just calls the shots as it sees it. This entry was posted in Uncategorized by Armstrong Economics. Bookmark the permalink.

To: 2MAR$ who wrote (93816)	8/25/2012 9:24:11 PM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 219497

On second read of what armstrong wrote last year ... It says we should sell before / into September and re-enter january, or hold through September into January, depending on whether one treats August / september as a high or low (August is a low, September is so far not really high) - I hold w/ trembling hands I have time for Armstrong Message 23204354