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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (93887)8/26/2012 5:33:39 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217543
 
hello haim, those side-by-side charts are useful stockcharts.com|B

i have my computer fairly to very well organized, and that link shall be made a permanent always-open tab on my browser so that each and every time i am on line, i see what is important and that which summarizes the global geo-political, econo-financial, and risk-on / qe-on / risk-off / qe-off.

today i must deal w/ whether the imperative is for sale and the prerogative for unloading.

believe the next few weeks would be 'difficult', meaning i am sure of not very much, except that the world has a math problem.

cheers, tj



To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (93887)8/26/2012 5:45:59 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217543
 
(Commodities) prices will remain as much as 30-60% higher in real terms than during the last decades of the 20th century, which we think will be the ‘new normal’

economy’s growth typically becomes more ‘commodity intensive’ when it reaches per capita GDP of around $3,000 (in constant purchasing power parity 2011 dollars). At that point demand for commodities typically takes off.

Conversely, we find that commodity demand tapers when economies reach per capita GDP of around $20,000.

Message 28352447



To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (93887)8/29/2012 10:25:49 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217543
 
would imagine that at some point the italians shall, for the people by the people, start to string up some bankers

m.theglobeandmail.com

In hard times, “I buy gold” is Italy’s boom business
Times are now so tough that Valerio Novelli, a ticket inspector on Rome’s buses, is planning to sell his old gold teeth.

“I can’t get to the end of the month without running up debts,” said Mr. Novelli, 56, who has to support an ex-wife and daughter. “I know I won’t get much, but I need the money.”

In a country suffering from economic crisis, buying gold off desperate people has become one of the few boom industries.

City centres are being transformed as traditional shops go out of business, their signs replaced by ones that announce “Compro Oro”, or “I Buy Gold”.

The Eurispes thinktank estimates the number of “Compro Oro” shops has quadrupled in the last two years. The growth of the industry is “a very good indicator of the level of hardship in the country,” said Gian Maria Fara, the think tank’s president.

“Business is very good, you can really feel the crisis,” said 30 year-old Alexia Messi, who works in Oro Change on Via Medaglie D’Oro in northern Rome. It opened its first branch five years ago and now has seven outlets in Rome.

“People are never happy to sell, but now they come in with anything – gold, silver, old stuff, new stuff. I would say we have twice as many customers a day as we did a year ago.”

Meanwhile, the toll of the crisis is being felt by traditional retailers. In central Rome, Massimo Della Rocca, 57, who has run the men’s’ clothes shop EDEL since inheriting it from his grandfather 30 years ago, is planning to close up.

“Things have been getting worse for years but now it’s becoming impossible. Sales this summer are down 25 per cent from last year,” said Mr. Della Rocca, whose garments are all made in Italy from local fabrics. “It’s sad because this shop has been going for 80 years.”

PROLIFERATION
Former Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, who was brought down by an escalating debt crisis in November, liked to claim that with restaurants still full and Italians buying as many electronic gadgets as ever, there was little concrete evidence of economic downturn in Italy.

But the proliferation of pawn shops, with an estimated annual turnover of €7-billion, is a very visible sign that for millions of Italians life has changed for the worse.

The euro zone’s third largest economy has been in recession for a year and shrank at an annual rate of 2.5 per cent in the second quarter.

There are an estimated 28,000 “cash for gold” outlets in Italy, according to Gianni Mancuso, one of six centre-right lawmakers who last month presented a request in parliament for the government to regulate the sector more strictly.

Several recent shootings in Rome have involved owners of Cash for Gold outlets. Parliament has discussed evidence that the sector is being taken over by mafia groups.

“They are all crooks, they shouldn’t exist,” said Valeria Arcidiacono, a 46 year-old single mother whose teenage son took and sold her gold and pearl earrings at the local pawn shop.

“They were worth 1,000 euros and they gave him 42 euros for them, with no receipt or anything,” she said.

Ranieri Razzante, head of Italy’s anti-money laundering watchdog AIRA, said pawnbrokers had “virtually taken over from banks” as a form of financing for Italian families, as crisis-hit lenders are increasingly reluctant to offer credit.

Bank loans to households were down at an annual rate of 0.6 per cent in June, despite inflation of more than 3 per cent.

Some 8.5 per cent of Italians sold items at a pawnshop in 2011, according to an Eurispes survey.

Some operators are active for just a few weeks before selling on their licences, making it difficult to counter their activities of money laundering and receipt of stolen goods.

“It’s a well established pattern that organised crime tends to take a lead role in new, high-growth sectors,” said Mr. Razzante.

‘PUT IT ASIDE’
While pawnshops in northern Europe buy and sell a wide array of used items, the emphasis in Italy is on gold, reflecting a deeply rooted southern European tradition in which gold is the favoured gift, starting from baptism.

“Since I was a child I remember that gold was given as a gift on various occasions and people used to say: ‘Put it aside’,” said Ivana Ciabatti, who represents gold– and silversmiths at employers’ lobby Confindustria.

“We used to laugh at it, but they turned out to be right. Many families are surviving thanks to this gold.”

Meeting her customers gives Giorgia Standoli an insider’s view of the hardship caused by the economic crisis. She has worked for four months in a pawnshop on Via Cesare Baronio, a quiet street in southern Rome’s Appio Latino district.

“It’s mostly women, old ladies that sell whatever they have to be able to do the shopping,” she said. “I think the saddest case I have had was a woman of less than 50, with three kids, who had lost her husband. She came in to sell her wedding ring to try to make ends meet.”

While pawnbrokers are thriving, life has never been so tough for traditional shops, especially small ones which are closing down at an alarming rate. Consumer spending will fall in 2012 by more than at any time since World War Two, according to national shop owners confederation Confcommercio.

Rome’s small shops and boutiques have been particularly hard hit. More than 1,500 have shut so far this year, including some illustrious names, says small retail association Confesercenti.

Lina Rocchi, a storied ladies’ fashion boutique on a prime site next to parliament, announced last month that it was closing down after 80 years.

“There is a sense of desperation among our members,” said Confesercenti President Valter Giammaria, who forecast that unless the economy somehow picks up, another 5,000 shops in Rome and its hinterland would close before the year is out.

Italians are even shunning record summer discounts, with sales down around 25 per cent in July compared with a year ago, according to the artisans’ association CNA.

The pawnbrokers, by contrast, can hardly keep up with business. They normally have the gold quickly melted down and sent abroad, making it one of Italy’s fastest growing exports. Official gold sales to Switzerland leaped 65 per cent last year to 120 tonnes, up from 73 tonnes in 2010 and 64 tonnes in 2009.