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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (94378)9/7/2012 8:57:06 PM
From: vegetarian  Respond to of 217572
 
Interesting that Argentina is trying hard to get back to square one! India and China need to watch out that the critical balancing act they are doing in promoting growth with lowering interest rates and stimulus while trying to tame the inflation beast does not go out of hand else they are walking on same path as Argentina in few years and there is good amount of history there to learn from. However, if Argentina refuses to learn from their own history, not sure if it fair for India and China to learn from them.

The RBI is between rock and a hard place, they see food inflation > 10% and are resisting reducing rates until govt controls deficit and inflation, however it is a matter of time when they will succumb to political pressure to reduce rates and inflation starts exploding upward(the Argentina factor). It should not surprise anyone their folks are telling people to not buy gold and instead buy cars and apartments while taking on loans to keep the music going. If RBI does not realize what is in their best interest and not to accept orders from G-20 to meet growth targets set fo BRICs by Ben and company at any cost, it would be too much to expect citizens to realize that taking on ridiculous loans is not in their interest as promoted by finance minister so the charade continues as long as the swans are while.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (94378)9/8/2012 12:42:50 PM
From: carranza2  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217572
 
From the Dallas Fed's research site, w/ a hat tip to The Warf. Further proof that Krugman is an idiot .

White is no one's fool:

William R. White is currently the chairman of the Economic Development and Review Committee at the O ECD in Paris. He was previously Economic Advisor and Head of the Monetary and Economic Department at the Bank for International Settlements in Basel, Switzerland.

Abstract quoted if you do not care to drill deep into the nitty gritty:

http://dallasfed.org/assets/documents/institute/wpapers/2012/0126.pdf

Abstract

In this paper, an attempt is made to evaluate the desirability of ultra easy monetary policy by weighing up the balance of the desirable short run effects and the undesirable longer run effects – the unintended consequences. The conclusion is that there are limits to what central banks can do. One reason for believing this is that monetary stimulus, operating through traditional (“flow”) channels, might now be less effective in stimulating aggregate demand than previously. Further, cumulative (“stock”) effects provide negative feedback mechanisms that over time also weaken both supply and demand. It is also the case that ultra easy monetary policies can eventually threaten the health of financial institutions and the functioning of financial markets, threaten the “independence” of central banks, and can encourage imprudent behavior on the part of governments. None of these unintended consequences is desirable. Since monetary policy is not “a free lunch”, governments must therefore use much more vigorously the policy levers they still control to support strong, sustainable and balanced growth at the global level.