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Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ChinuSFO who wrote (121655)9/23/2012 12:29:24 PM
From: Mac Con Ulaidh  Respond to of 149317
 
You don't harm religious beliefs by saying words against them. And we do have that right. Public opinion might become strong enough that some things become seen to be unacceptable and more and more leave a certain bigotry, at least overtly, behind. The use of the n-word has trickled down to being seldom used because of opinion, not law, or the taking away of rights.

I've been thinking about why I feel so strongly about this, as an article of faith. Part I said in my previous post, but there's far more to it than that. Jesus was accused of blasphemy. He died for it. He spoke about the religious rulers holding the keys to Heaven away from the people and becoming simply about laws and rules and he fought to change that. Laws about blasphemy are a way to enforce fear, not to protect people from insults to their beliefs.



To: ChinuSFO who wrote (121655)9/23/2012 1:08:03 PM
From: Mac Con Ulaidh  Respond to of 149317
 
I'm thinking more on this, Chinu. I appreciate your opinion, as always, and comments on this. I want to say more, but want to ponder longer.



To: ChinuSFO who wrote (121655)9/24/2012 12:04:18 AM
From: tejek  Respond to of 149317
 
Obama up 6 in Colorado

PPP's newest Colorado poll finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 51-45 in the state. That represents a three point improvement for Obama since Labor Day weekend when he had a 49-46 advantage.

The key for Obama in Colorado is that he's neutralizing or even holding a small lead with some of the groups he tends to struggle with. For instance he's actually slightly ahead, 49-48, with white voters and when you add his typical 65-29 lead with Hispanics to the mix it gives him his overall healthy lead. He's also leading 51-46 with men to go along with his usual advantage among women, 52-44 in this case. Romney does have a 52-45 lead with seniors but Obama more than offsets that with a 58-38 lead among voters under 45.

Since our last poll Obama has seen a 4 point improvement in his net approval rating, from slightly negative ground at 48/49 to slightly positive at 50/47. Romney's seen a small decline in his favorability numbers from 46/50 to 45/51.

Romney did not help himself with his '47%' comments earlier this week. 38% of voters said his sentiment made them less likely to vote for him, compared to only 27% who consider them a positive. Romney trails Obama 51-41 with independents and Obama is also benefiting from a more unified party with 91% of Democrats supporting him compared to 86% of Republicans who are behind Romney.


We also tested an iteration of the Presidential race in Colorado including Libertarian Gary Johnson. Johnson polls at 4% but doesn't have any sort of spoiler effect- he pulls equally from Obama and Romney, still leaving Obama with a 6 point lead at 49-43. A couple of other notes from Colorado:

-Voters trust Obama over Romney both when it comes to the economy (49-46) and foreign policy (53-45).

-52% of voters in the state think Romney should release 12 years of his tax returns to 41% who think he should not.

Full results here

publicpolicypolling.com








To: ChinuSFO who wrote (121655)9/24/2012 12:06:06 AM
From: tejek  Respond to of 149317
 
Obama leads by 4 in Florida

PPP's newest Florida poll finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney by a 50-46 margin in the state. That represents a 3 point improvement for Obama since PPP's last poll of the state, which was conducted the weekend after the Republican convention. It represents the largest lead PPP has found for Obama in Florida since early June.

Mitt Romney's image with Floridians has taken a turn in the wrong direction since his party gathered in Tampa for its convention. His favorability has dropped a net 9 points from +2 at 49/47 over Labor Day weekend to now -7 at 44/51. Romney's comments about the '47%' this week aren't doing him any favors. 89% of voters are familiar with them and 50% consider them to have been inappropriate to 44% who were ok with them. Most troubling for Romney independent voters considered the comments improper by a 58/37 margin and he trails Obama by a 51/40 spread with those folks who could determine the final outcome in the state.

Obama's lead in Florida isn't all about Romney losing ground though. He's pretty strong in his own right with 51% of voters approving of him to 47% who disapprove. That's up a net 7 points from 47/50 before the Democratic convention. This is the first time since April we've found his approval over 50% in the state. Perhaps more importantly Florida voters trust Obama over Romney on the issue of the economy by the same 50/46 margin as the overall numbers- Romney's not getting any traction on that front. And Obama leads 50-45 in terms of who voters have more faith in on foreign policy.

The main shift in the horse race comparing this poll to our last one has come with Democrats. Previously Romney was getting a pretty decent amount of crossover support from them, getting 18% to 79% for Obama. Now whether it's because they're warming up to Obama or getting fed up with Romney or both, Democratic voters are more united around their nominee with 83% planning to support the President to 13% for Romney.


Obama's up 55-41 with women, 67-29 with non-white voters, and 52-42 with folks under 65 in Florida. Romney has a 51-44 advantage with men, a 53-42 one with whites, and a 53-45 one with seniors. One other important finding in Florida is that contra conventional wisdom for most of the year, Democrats are actually slightly more excited about voting this fall than Republicans are. 72% of Democrats say they're 'very excited' to vote in the election compared to 68% of GOP voters. And the single group most excited about voting is African Americans, 82% of whom say they are very excited.

And one final note- Romney releasing a year of his tax returns on Florida might be a start, but by a 52/39 margin voters in Florida say they'd like to see him release 12 years of his returns before the election.

Florida's still very close and it wouldn't take a huge shift to move it back to 50/50 status but for now Obama looks to be the slight favorite there.

Full results here

publicpolicypolling.com