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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sergio H who wrote (49724)10/10/2012 1:26:55 PM
From: NikhilJog1 Recommendation  Respond to of 78702
 
Obviously i disagree with Paul. I can partially agree with "I'm interested as long as the earnings don't seem like they will drop in those future years." If earnings don't drop, that does interest me enough to take a look at that name.

Secondly, i never said looking at low p/e is a value trap. The question I posed was " just bcs something has a p/e of 4x, does not mean its a good buy because. it can very well be a value trap". - so Paul misunderstood what i was saying - but i guess thats nothing new lol



To: Sergio H who wrote (49724)10/10/2012 3:07:18 PM
From: Paul Senior1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78702
 
I'd be looking at structural changes in demand to where I fear company earnings and/or stock won't comeback, either permanently or for a very long time. Judgment/opinion call on my part.

Some possibilities?:

WDC/HPQ/PAY/VOXX: obsolete/wrong technology
TM: Refusal of Chinese consumers to buy Japanese products, esp. Japanese-made cars
APOL/DV: For profit educational companies
BTU/WLT: Coal producers
SVU: Grocers competing with Target/WMT/Ethnic chains
CACI: Government (defense) contractors
Various: Life insurance companies
Various: Payday loan/loan companies