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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: yard_man who wrote (10681)	12/1/1997 4:37:00 PM
From: Lazarus_Long	Respond to of 94695

<< Japan isn't going to shoot itself by liquidating U.S. treasuries. If the collapse is comming it will be via another route. >> And shooting a (possible) hole in my own argument, Japan could be forced against its will to liquadate US Treasuries. For example, to defend a falling yen against speculators. Japan's financial institutions are shaky and the gov't has a large debt and budget deficit.

To: yard_man who wrote (10681)	12/1/1997 4:40:00 PM
From: Mike M2	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Barry, the bulls conveniently forget that big time purchases of US debt by Japan,SE Asia & its central banks have kept our interest low in spite of our inadequate domestic savings. I suspect we will not have this supportive buying going forward.-g- My point is that I believe that without their continual buying of our debt interest rates should rise. even though the mkt seems to disagree at the moment. you would agree that if the money flows into mutual funds slowed dramaticly the stk mkt would be under pressure? Someone mention they saw in Barron's that foreigners have been selling US debt. I did not look can anyone verify? Mike