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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: i-node who wrote (679547)	10/17/2012 11:18:16 PM
From: tejek	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1587368

There's no "we'll see". That's how it is. If Romney wins NV or CO or or NH and Obama loses PA or OH, it is over. Romney has to take two states to win it. The entire situation has changed and Obama is defending his goal line. Your goal line is artificial. PA is not even in contention..........Mitt pulled out of the state weeks ago. OH is still bleeding blue. And most polls coming out of NV, CO and NH show Obama still in the lead, albeit a lead that narrowed after the first debate. The thing you need to be concerned about is why Mitt is doing as well as he in the national polls vs the swing state polls. Is it because of his exaggerated support in the South? After all, Its the only region he has in his pocket. The other thing you need to worry about is if Mitt has peaked too early. That's what happened to McCain in 2008.

To: i-node who wrote (679547)	10/17/2012 11:30:08 PM
From: tejek	Respond to of 1587368

Here are some questions, and you get only 1 chance to answer: What pollster in 2008 found John McCain with a 10 point lead? This was the only pollster to find McCain EVER leading by more than 4. Who was the only pollster in October of 2004 to find Bush with an 8 point lead (on October 16th) What pollster in 2000 showed Al Gore with a 1 point lead on October 24th, and George Bush with a 13 point lead on october 27th? What pollster showed a Clinton lead going from 9 points to 25 points in 1996 in FOUR DAYS