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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Kirk © who wrote (39137)	10/19/2012 8:32:25 AM
From: Gary105	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 218840

Imo the situation is inverse of 2008-09 - market was crashing discounting depression, we got recovery and market reacted upward. Now market is discounting stronger economies while economies weaken. I think next year the divergence disappears - either stronger recoveries (imo 25% chance) or much weaker markets (imo 75% chance). Couple that with weakest year in presidential cycle and I think we have major downmove in 2013. I agree that last 4 years (time of fear) was wonderful to stock investors. I'm personally raising cash as I think next down cycle will be disastrous to stocks.