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Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Neil H who wrote (124521)10/20/2012 10:04:30 PM
From: Neil H  Respond to of 149317
 
youtube.com!

Home Depot Leadership states the obvious.



To: Neil H who wrote (124521)10/21/2012 2:32:18 PM
From: microhoogle!2 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 149317
 
Hold the counting of your chickens yet on North Carolina.

carolinatransparency.com



To: Neil H who wrote (124521)10/21/2012 3:28:24 PM
From: tejek  Respond to of 149317
 
Full disclosure: Charlie Cook leans right

October 19, 2012

National Presidential Polling

Live-Interviewer/Land-line and Cellphone Interviews -- Listed by Date and by Lead Margin The chart below provides a rundown of recent presidential election trial heats nationally. The polls featured here were conducted solely via live interviewing of voters on land-lines or cellphones. This chart will be updated daily leading up to the November 6 election.

Sorted Chronologically by DateLeadPollster (Partisan Lean)Obama %Romney %Sample Size and TypeDate
Romney +6Gallup (7-day) Likely Voters*45%51%2700 LVOctober 12-18, 2012
Romney +1Gallup (7-day) Reg. Voters*47%48%2200 RVOctober 12-18, 2012
Obama +3ABC/Washington Post49%46%923 LVOctober 10-13, 2012, 2012
Obama +1Politico/GWU/Battleground49%48%1000 LVOctober 7-11, 2012
Romney +1Fox News45%46%1109 LVOctober 7-9, 2012, 2012
Romney +4Pew Research45%49%1112 LVOctober 4-7, 2012
Obama +3Gallup (21-day) Reg. Voters49%46%9668 RVSept 24- Oct 14, 2012
Obama +3CNN/ORC50%47%783 LVSeptember 28-30, 2012
EvenUnited Technologies/ National Journal47%47%789 LVSeptember 27-30, 2012
Obama +3NBC/WSJ/Marist49%46%832 LVSeptember 26-30, 2012
Obama +7NPR/Dem Corps (D)/Resurgent Republic (R)51%43%800 LVSeptember 26-30, 2012
Obama +4Quinnipiac Univ.49%45%1912 LVSeptember 25-30, 2012
Obama +6Bloomberg49%43%1007 LVSeptember 21-24, 2012
Obama +7
Allstate/National Journal50%43%1055 LVSeptember 15-19, 2012
Obama +1AP/GfK47%46%807 LVSeptember 13-17, 2012
Obama +3CBS/NYT49%46%1170 RVSeptember 8-12, 2012
Obama +5Democracy Corps (D)50%45%1000 LVSeptember 8-12, 2012
Obama +1.9Average



*Gallup daily tracking data and sample information current as of 1pm ET, October 19, 2012

National Presidential Polling
Live-Interviewer/Land-line and Cellphone Interviews -- Listed by Date and by Lead MarginThe chart below provides a rundown of recent presidential election trial heats nationally. The polls featured here were conducted solely via live interviewing of voters on land-lines or cellphones.

Sorted by Best Romney to Best ObamaLeadPollster (Partisan Lean)Obama %Romney %Sample Size and TypeDate
Romney +6Gallup (7-day) Likely Voters*45%51%2700 LVOctober 12-18, 2012
Romney +4Pew Research45%49%1112 LVOctober 4-7, 2012
Romney +1Fox News45%46%1109 LVOctober 7-9, 2012, 2012
Romney +1Gallup (7-day) Reg. Voters*47%48%2200 RVOctober 12-18, 2012
EvenUnited Technologies/ National Journal47%47%789 LVSeptember 27-30, 2012
Obama +1AP/GfK47%46%807 LVSeptember 13-17, 2012
Obama +1Politico/GWU/Battleground49%48%1000 LVOctober 7-11, 2012
Obama +3ABC/Washington Post49%46%923 LVOctober 10-13, 2012, 2012
Obama +3CBS/NYT49%46%1170 RVSeptember 8-12, 2012
Obama +3CNN/ORC50%47%783 LVSeptember 28-30, 2012
Obama +3Gallup (3-week)49%46%9668 RVSept 24- Oct 14, 2012
Obama +3NBC/WSJ/Marist49%46%832 LVSeptember 26-30, 2012
Obama +4Quinnipiac Univ.49%45%1912 LVSeptember 25-30, 2012
Obama +5Democracy Corps (D)50%45%1000 LVSeptember 8-12, 2012
Obama +6Bloomberg49%43%1007 LVSeptember 21-24, 2012
Obama +7
Allstate/National Journal50%43%1055 LVSeptember 15-19, 2012
Obama +7NPR/Dem Corps (D)/Resurgent Republic (R)51%43%800 LVSeptember 26-30, 2012
Obama +1.9Average



*Gallup 7-day data and sample information current as of 1pm ET, October 19, 2012

Battleground State Presidential Polling
Live-Interviewer/Land-line and Cellphone Interviews -- Listed by State and by Lead Margin The chart below provides a rundown of recent presidential election trial heats in swing states. The polls featured here were conducted solely via live interviewing of voters on land-lines or cellphones. This chart also includes the private characterizations of top pollsters and strategists on where they see each state.

Sorted Alphabetically by StateState (Electoral Vote Count)Current Cook RatingD/R Pollster Characterization*Pollster (Partisan Lean)Poll ResultsDate
Colorado (9)Toss UpObama +1 to Obama +5Grove Insight (D)
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS
Selzer/Univ of Denver
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Obama +3: 47% - 44%
Obama +1: 48% - 47%
Obama +4: 47% - 43%
Obama +5: 50% - 45%
October 15-16, 2012
October 7-9, 2012
October 4-5, 2012
September 16-18, 2012
Florida (29)Lean RRomney +2 to Obama +1Fox News
CNN/ORC
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT
Romney +3: 48% - 45%
Romney +1: 49% - 48%
Obama +1: 47% - 46%
Obama +9: 53% - 44%
October 17-18, 2012
October 17-19, 2012
September 26-30, 2012
September 18-24, 2012
Iowa (6)Toss UpRomney +1 to Obama +7NBC/WSJ/Marist
Des Moines Register
TIR/Voter/Cnsmr Rsrch (R)
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Obama +8: 51% - 43%
Obama +4: 49% - 45%
Romney +1: 47% - 46%
Obama +8: 50% - 42%
October 15-17, 2012
September 23-26, 2012
September 23-25, 2012
September 16-18, 2012
Michigan (16)Likely DObama +7 to +8NBC/WSJ/MaristObama +8: 52% - 44%September 14-18, 2012
Nevada (6)Toss UpObama +3 to +6Mellman Group (D)
NBC/WSJ/Marist
CNN/ORC
Obama +8: 51% - 43%
Obama +2: 49% - 47%
Obama +3: 49% - 46%
October 15-17, 2012
September 23-25, 2012
September 14-18, 2012
New Hampshire (4)Toss UpObama +2 to +5WMUR-TV/UNH
WMUR-TV/UNH
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Obama +6: 47% - 41%
Obama +15: 49% - 54%
Obama +7: 51% - 44%
Sept 30 - Oct 6
September 27-30, 2012
September 23-25, 2012
North Carolina (15)Lean RRomney +1 to +2NBC/WSJ/MaristObama +2: 48% - 46%September 23-25, 2012
Ohio (18)Lean DObama +4 to +7Fox News
NBC/WSJ/Marist
CNN/ORC
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Obama +3: 46% - 43%
Obama +6: 51% - 45%
Obama +4: 51% - 47%
Obama +8: 51% - 43%
October 17-18, 2012
October 4-9, 2012
October 5-8, 2012
September 26-30, 2012
Pennsylvania (20)Likely DObama +7 to +9Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT
Obama +4: 50%-46%
Obama +12: 54% - 42%
October 12-14, 2012
September 18-24, 2012
Virginia (13)Lean REven to Romney +2Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS
NBC/WSJ/Marist
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Suffolk Univ./NBC12
Obama +5: 51% - 46%
Romney +1: 48% - 47%
Obama +2: 48% - 46%
Obama +2: 46% - 44%
October 7-9, 2012
October 4-9, 2012
September 26-30, 2012
September 24-26, 2012
Wisconsin (10)Lean DObama +3 to +7NBC/WSJ/Marist
Marquette Law School
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS
Marquette Law School
Obama +6: 51% - 45%
Obama +1: 49% - 48%
Obama +3: 50% - 47%
Obama +11: 53% - 42%
October 15-17, 2012
October 11 - 14
October 7-9, 2012
September 27-30, 2012
*Characterizations are from private conversations between Charlie Cook and top Democratic and Republican pollsters and strategists
Battleground State Presidential Polling
Live-Interviewer/Land-line and Cellphone Interviews -- Listed by State and by Lead Margin The chart below provides a rundown of recent presidential election trial heats in swing states. The polls featured here were conducted solely via live interviewing of voters on land-lines or cellphones. This chart also includes the private characterizations of top pollsters and strategists on where they see each state.

Sorted by Best Romney to Best ObamaState (Electoral Vote Count)Current Cook RatingD/R Pollster Characterization*Pollster (Partisan Lean)Poll ResultsDate
North Carolina (15)Lean RRomney +1 to +2NBC/WSJ/MaristObama +2: 48% - 46%September 23-25, 2012
Florida (29)Lean RRomney +2 to Obama +1Fox News
CNN/ORC
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT
Romney +3: 48% - 45%
Romney +1: 49% - 48%
Obama +1: 47% - 46%
Obama +9: 53% - 44%
October 17-18, 2012
October 17-19, 2012
September 26-30, 2012
September 18-24, 2012
Virginia (13)Lean REven to Romney +2Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS
NBC/WSJ/Marist
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Suffolk Univ./NBC12
Obama +5: 51% - 46%
Romney +1: 48% - 47%
Obama +2: 48% - 46%
Obama +2: 46% - 44%
October 7-9, 2012
October 4-9, 2012
September 26-30, 2012
September 24-26, 2012
Colorado (9)Toss UpObama +1 to Obama +5Grove Insight (D)
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS
Selzer/Univ of Denver
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Obama +3: 47% - 44%
Obama +1: 48% - 47%
Obama +4: 47% - 43%
Obama +5: 50% - 45%
October 15-16, 2012
October 7-9, 2012
October 4-5, 2012
September 16-18, 2012
Iowa (6)Toss UpRomney +1 to Obama +7NBC/WSJ/Marist
Des Moines Register
TIR/Voter/Cnsmr Rsrch (R)
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Obama +8: 51% - 43%
Obama +4: 49% - 45%
Romney +1: 47% - 46%
Obama +8: 50% - 42%
October 15-17, 2012
September 23-26, 2012
September 23-25, 2012
September 16-18, 2012
New Hampshire (4)Toss UpObama +2 to +5WMUR-TV/UNH
WMUR-TV/UNH
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Obama +6: 47% - 41%
Obama +15: 49% - 54%
Obama +7: 51% - 44%
Sept 30 - Oct 6
September 27-30, 2012
September 23-25, 2012
Nevada (6)Toss UpObama +3 to +6Mellman Group (D)
NBC/WSJ/Marist
CNN/ORC
Obama +8: 51% - 43%
Obama +2: 49% - 47%
Obama +3: 49% - 46%
October 15-17, 2012
September 23-25, 2012
September 14-18, 2012
Wisconsin (10)Lean DObama +3 to +7NBC/WSJ/Marist
Marquette Law School
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS
Marquette Law School
Obama +6: 51% - 45%
Obama +1: 49% - 48%
Obama +3: 50% - 47%
Obama +11: 53% - 42%
October 15-17, 2012
October 11 - 14
October 7-9, 2012
September 27-30, 2012
Ohio (18)Lean DObama +4 to +7Fox News
NBC/WSJ/Marist
CNN/ORC
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Obama +3: 46% - 43%
Obama +6: 51% - 45%
Obama +4: 51% - 47%
Obama +8: 51% - 43%
October 17-18, 2012
October 4-9, 2012
October 5-8, 2012
September 26-30, 2012
Michigan (16)Likely DObama +7 to +8NBC/WSJ/MaristObama +8: 52% - 44%September 14-18, 2012
Pennsylvania (20)Likely DObama +7 to +9Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT
Obama +4: 50%-46%
Obama +12: 54% - 42%
October 12-14, 2012
September 18-24, 2012
*Characterizations are from private conversations between Charlie Cook and top Democratic and Republican pollsters and strategists

cookpolitical.com