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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: i-node who wrote (515595)	10/22/2012 12:14:27 AM
From: Nadine Carroll	3 Recommendations Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793927

One point Jay Severin has made on the radio over and over is that pollsters who use a turnout model usually base it on the last national election, i.e. the midterms. But this time, most of the polls have samples closer to 2008 than 2010. The main exceptions in national polls is Rasmussen. But historically, the turnout at Presidential elections is usually pretty close to the preceding midterm. Turnout was +0 D in 2010. Which means that any sample which is more than +4 D at the outside is over-sampling Dems.

To: i-node who wrote (515595)	10/22/2012 2:28:33 AM
From: goldworldnet	1 Recommendation Respond to of 793927

A decisive Romney victory would definitely make for a smoother transition. I still think a landslide would be in the best interests of the country. * * *

To: i-node who wrote (515595)	10/22/2012 8:13:03 AM
From: Jorj X Mckie	2 Recommendations Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 793927

I got this from MoveOn.org yesterday Dear JXM,A Romney/Ryan administration would eviscerate women's rights. We'd be talking about getting rid of abortion, birth control, access to healthcare screenings. As a husband, son, and father, I can't stand by and let this happen. That's why my wife, Michele, and I teamed up with Scarlett Johansson, Eva Longoria, and Kerry Washington to make a powerful TV ad letting women voters across the country know the dangers of a Romney presidency. More than 14,000 of your fellow MoveOn members donated to help get it on the air in key swing states. But I also hear that MoveOn members have one of the best distribution networks in the country. And that's YOU, sharing the ad with the people you know on Facebook, Twitter, and by email The Obama campaign has done the most fantastic job imaginable at misleading the gullible; they now believe Romney is going to take their birth control away. Hell, last week, there was a rumor on Twitter that Romney would ban tampax.