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Politics : American Presidential Politics and foreign affairs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: sandintoes who wrote (58006)10/30/2012 9:25:36 AM
From: Peter Dierks  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71588
 
Ohio is still up for grabs. Obama is trying every dirty trick in the bag of dirty tricks. If legitimate voters in Ohio get their say Obama will lose there by a small but manageable margin. The democrats have a well oiled vote fraud machine there.



To: sandintoes who wrote (58006)10/30/2012 9:29:02 AM
From: Peter Dierks  Respond to of 71588
 
Rasmussen: Romney 279, Obama 243
By JEFFREY H. ANDERSON
4:39 PM, Oct 29, 2012

The latest state-by-state polling from Rasmussen Reports shows Mitt Romney leading President Obama by a tally of 279 to 243 in projected electoral votes. Among the nine key swing states, Rasmussen Reports now shows Romney leading in Florida (by 2 percentage points), Ohio (by 2 points), Virginia (by 2 points), Colorado (by 4 points), and New Hampshire (by 2 points). It shows Obama leading in Pennsylvania (by 5 points) and Nevada (by 2 points). It shows Wisconsin (49 percent to 49 percent) and Iowa (48 percent to 48 percent) tied.

weeklystandard.com



To: sandintoes who wrote (58006)11/1/2012 10:35:09 PM
From: greatplains_guy1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71588
 
CBS: Romney Posts Big Leads Among Independents
by Mike Flynn
October 31 2012

Independents are the critical, deciding factor in American politics. Unaffiliated with either party, they are the voters candidates need to build a national coalition. The candidate who wins Independents wins the election. George W. Bush drew even with Independents against John Kerry. He won reelection by pushing GOP turnout to historically high levels. But no candidate has won the White House while losing Independents by a significant margin. Based on this alone, according to a new CBS poll, Obama is staring at defeat next week.

CBS is out with a new poll of the critical swing states Ohio, Florida, and Virginia. In each, Romney posts significant leads among Independent voters. In Virginia, Romney leads Obama by a massive 21 points among Independents. In OH and FL, he leads by 5-6 points. If this lead holds through election day, he will not lose these states, based on past elections.

Romney also has big leads among those most likely to vote. He wins seniors, the most dependable voting demographic, by 13 points in VA, 11 points in FL and 9 points in OH. Again, if these trends hold, Romney will sweep all three states, according to CBS.

Of course, since this poll was commissioned by CBS, they are downplaying these results. Instead, Quinnipiac University, who conducted the poll, oversampled Democrats by a ridiculous amount to show Obama with a 5 point lead in OH and tied in VA and FL. To get this result, Quinnipiac had to juice the poll to show Democrats with a bigger turnout advantage than they enjoyed in 2008.

There are few things certain in life, but you can count on Democrats not repeating the massive turnout they enjoyed in 2008.

That year, Democrats had an 8 point advantage in OH. They had a 6 point advantage in VA and a 3 point advantage in FL. It was their biggest turnout advantage in at least three decades. Quinnipiac, almost fraudulently, assumes Democrats will have the same advantage in OH next week, but will enlarge their advantage in the other two states. VA, according to Quinnipiac will go from D+6 to D+8. Florida, amazingly, will go from D+3 to D+7, more than doubling the Democrat turnout advantage. In a state where rhe GOP has added more voters and the Dems have lost voters!

For many reasons beyond common sense, the Democrats will not replicate their 2008 turnout advantage in these states. CBS is simply dangling a bright shiny object in front of you to obscure what's really going on. Independents are breaking hard for Romney. And, they will deliver all three states to him on Tuesday.

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breitbart.com