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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JohnM who wrote (206914)11/4/2012 10:06:32 AM
From: Dale Baker  Respond to of 542023
 
Here is Silver's table and the factors he mixes in - I'm sure his site explains each line in detail.

Colorado FiveThirtyEight Projections Dem Rep Margin
Polling average 48.0 46.7 Obama +1.3
Adjusted polling average 47.9 46.3 Obama +1.6
State fundamentals 48.0 46.3 Obama +1.7
Now-cast 47.9 46.3 Obama +1.6
Projected vote share ±3.3 50.2 48.7 Obama +1.5

Chance of winning 68% 32%