SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Marc L. Greenberg who wrote (4185)12/2/1997 8:07:00 AM
From: Teddy  Respond to of 95453
 
Dow Jones Newswires -- December 1, 1997
OPEC - Opportunities -2: Some Push Natural-Gas Cos.

But most potential opportunities are seen in sectors of the oil business that
have very little direct connection to oil.

For example, exploration & production, or E&P, companies have been
falling for more than two weeks, and fell again Monday as oil prices slid. But
the earnings of many E&P companies that focus on finding natural gas in the
U.S. won't be affected at all by lower oil prices.

'When they get hit, they all get hit,' said Alan Gaines, president of Gaines
Berland Inc., a brokerage firm specializing in energy shares. He predicts that
selling will dry up in January.

Gaines said he likes small and mid-capitalization stocks, such as National
Energy Group Inc. (NEGX) and Lomak Petroleum Inc. (LOM). Both focus
on gas and could be good investments over the next six to 12 months, he
said - 'if you can hold your nose and take the plunge.'

ABN AMRO's Ferretti also likes gas producers, especially those with
growing production, such as Comstock Resources Inc. (CRK) and the
larger Burlington Resources Inc. (BR). Ferretti said he doesn't know when
the current sell-off will hit bottom, but that he'd 'start bottom-fishing here.'

Like the E&P industry, oil-services stocks declined Monday on the OPEC
news - continuing a month-long slump that followed two years of strong
gains. The oil-service sector is now roughly 25% off its highs.

'There's almost nobody willing to step up and buy these stocks,' said
Schroder & Co. analyst James Stone. But investors are needlessly anxious
about OPEC's move, he said; it won't immediately lead to oil companies'
reducing the E&P spending that drives oil services.

'The difference between $20 oil and $19 oil doesn't have much impact on
capital spending,' Stone said.

If he's right, the oil-services stocks have been oversold and, once the selling
subsides, will be primed for a rebound.

'These will eventually bounce back, and when they do, they'll bounce back
with a vengeance,' said J. Marshall Adkins, an analyst at Raymond James &
Associates Inc.

Adkins likes NS Group Inc. (NSS), which makes drillpipe, mostly for
natural-gas drilling, and Patterson Energy Inc. (PTEN), a land-driller whose
rigs work mostly on gas wells.

Stone said he likes Noble Drilling Corp. (NE), an offshore driller, and EVI
Inc. (EVI), an oilfield equipment maker.

The biggest obstacle for investors to overcome is the negative momentum in
the market for E&P and oil-services stocks.

'There are a lot of values out there now,' said Adkins.

-Loren Fox; 201-938-5267; loren.fox@cor.dowjones.com



To: Marc L. Greenberg who wrote (4185)12/2/1997 11:13:00 AM
From: JGreg  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
All opinions welcome:

OPEC's 10% increase in capacity has pulled the price of oil down 10%. So, where's the gain? I have to believe that OPEC is (in the longer run) counting on the price of oil to stay the same or even increase, otherwise the capacity increase in negated. Am I missing something?