To: architect* who wrote (39211 ) 11/13/2012 9:45:26 AM From: Veteran98 3 Recommendations Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 48092 BRD... here we go the Canaccord report ... Brigus Gold Corp. Steven Butler 1.416.869.7918 sbutler@canaccordgenuity.com John Kratochwil, PEng 1.416.869.6592 jkratochwil@canaccordgenuity.com Adam Melnik, MBA 1.416.687.5428 amelnik@canaccordgenuity.com BRD : NYSE MKT : US$1.05 BRD : TSX BUY ? Target: US$2.10 ? COMPANY STATISTICS: 52-week Range: US$0.69 - 1.52 Avg. Daily Vol.: 885,382 Market Cap (M): US$272 Shares Out (M) basic: 259.2 Shares Out (M) fd: 267.0 LT Debt (M): US$86 Working Capital (M): US$43 EARNINGS SUMMARY: FYE Dec 2011A 2012E 2013E 2014E Gold Eq. Production 000oz: 56 77 101 110 Gold Eq. Total Cash Costs (US$/oz): 332 749 677 657 P/E: (37.4) 9.5 4.3 3.7 CFPS (US$): 0.08 0.25 0.35 0.33 P/CF: 14.0 4.3 3.0 3.1 EPS (US$): Q1 (0.03)A 0.02A 0.06E 0.07E Q2 (0.01)A 0.02A 0.06E 0.07E Q3 0.01A 0.02A 0.06E 0.08E Q4 (0.00)A 0.05E 0.06E 0.07E Total (0.03) 0.11 0.24 0.28 SHARE PRICE PERFORMANCE: Source: Interactive Data Corporation COMPANY DESCRIPTION: Brigus Gold is focused on exploration and development of precious metals projects in North America; under the stewardship of Wade Dawe, President and CEO. The company's cornerstone assets include the Black Fox mine and satellite Grey Fox project near Matheson, Ontario and the Goldfields project near Uranium City, Saskatchewan. These assets contain a gold reserve base of 1.86 Moz and measured, indicated, and inferred resources of 1.04 Moz. All amounts in US$ unless otherwise noted. Metals and Mining -- Precious Metals and Minerals Q3/12 RESULTS DEMONSTRATE LOWER BLACK FOX COSTS AGAIN Investment recommendation We reiterate our BUY rating on Brigus Gold following the release of Q3/12 results which continued to reflect the trend of lower unit costs (Q1 $858/oz, Q2 $799/oz, Q3 $728/oz). We continue to expect a sequentially stronger fourth quarter with the incremental benefit of more underground tonnage milled and the initial contribution from longhole stoping in the West Zone. Investment highlights ? Basic and diluted EPS was $0.04, but adjusted fully-diluted EPS was $0.02 versus our estimate of $0.03 and consensus of $0.02. The variance to our estimate was due to slightly higher than expected G&A, due to the effect of one-time severance charges. ? The company pre-released Q3/12 production of 19,526 at 3.34 g/t. However, sales were slightly lower at 19,064 oz. The trend of lower cash costs continued in Q3/12, with lower cash costs of $728/oz versus our estimate of $743/oz. Lower sales volumes were offset by lower cash costs which was primarily due to lower underground costs ($94/tonne versus our estimate of $100/tonne). ? Longhole stoping commenced in the West Zone at the end of Q3 and is expected to ramp up to 400-500 tpd in Q1/13. In addition, the 10% mill expansion to 2,200 tpd is now essentially complete and in commissioning mode, although we will maintain Q4 throughput equal to Q3 levels, i.e., 2,075 tpd. ? In Q3, the underground mined at 473 tpd versus our estimate of 450 tpd. Our Q4 assumption is 575 tpd, ramping to 700 tpd in Q1/13, 800 tpd in Q2/13, and 1,000 tpd by Q1/14. ? Our 2012 EPS estimate has been revised to $0.11 from $0.12. Valuation We maintain our 12-month target price of US$2.10 based on 0.65x our 5%/peak NAVPS estimate of US$3.22 (previously US$3.20). The shares remain undervalued at 0.47x 5%/spot P/NAV versus the junior average of 0.71x, and 3.0x 2013E P/CF versus the junior average of 8.9x.