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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (58149)11/15/2012 11:23:24 AM
From: The Ox1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95889
 
That must be why INTC is down 30% from their YTD highs...

>>>>

As INTC executes its Phi roadmap and ramps up performance, we anticipate competitive (revs) and pricing (GM) headwinds for NVDA in the coming years. Notably, every 5% decline in PSB revs equates to -5c of EPS. Admittedly, we’re early in identifying this trend but think the question is not IF but WHEN they gain traction. As a side note, it appears AMD has fallen to a very distant 3rd – less relevant in this area than ever. More on AMD CPU later



To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (58149)11/15/2012 3:21:09 PM
From: Return to Sender2 Recommendations  Respond to of 95889
 
Identifying a good market bottom is not easy but looking for a huge spike in the VIX and more bears than bulls in the Investors Intelligence Poll is a great place to start:

The last excellent trading bottom was in October 2011. We had more Bears than Bulls in the Investment Intelligence Poll:

Message 27674747



schaeffersresearch.com

The VIX was actually hitting lower highs at the actual bottom:



Uncertainty about the fiscal cliff will likely yield another one of these rare occasions in my opinion.

RtS