SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Biotech / Medical : Momenta Pharmaceuticals Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Biotech Jim who wrote (2945)11/17/2012 6:27:05 PM
From: DewDiligence_on_SI  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3027
 
NVS reported unexpectedly weak 3Q12 Lovenox sales about a month ago, and MNTA’s share price has been sliding ever since. The recent decline in the broad market has exacerbated the trend.

However, what many investors failed to notice was that NVS’s 3Q12 Lovenox number included a one-time downward adjustment and the Lovenox run rate will increase starting in 4Q12. MNTA’s CFO, Rick Shea, confirmed this on the CS webcast a few days ago.

Bottom line: the NPV of MNTA’s 10% royalty stream on NVS’ Lovenox sales is worth $150-190M fully-taxed, based on the arithmetic in siliconinvestor.com .

Corollary: After deducting the NPV of Lovenox and MNTA’s cash on hand, investors are currently paying close to nil for the rest of the company.