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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (41468)	12/7/2012 2:38:26 PM
From: TFF	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 222624

I hear sleigh bells.

To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (41468)	12/7/2012 2:38:52 PM
From: Keith Feral	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 222624

The 1 month drop in yields is now back to even. They were showing a drop of 18 bp's up until the other day. The next thing that has to happen is getting the YOY decline in yields out of the way. By year end, 1.87% is not out of the question. As long as we stay above 1.56% this month, the buy signal on TNX is still intact. Next month, it needs to stay above 1.61%. It's taken a long time for the bond market to calm down, but it's been very steady since last May. It's amazing the monthly close has only changed about 4 bp's during the past 8 months.