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To: M. Frank Greiffenstein who wrote (6757)12/2/1997 7:20:00 PM
From: Karl Drobnic  Respond to of 31646
 
Yardeni's Y2K recession: It seems to me that recessions happen when the velocity at which money passes from hand to hand slows down. But in a "Y2K recession" money must be spent. There's no choice. So instead of the Fed. govt. running a huge deficit, we may have a new factor: unprecedented Corporate Deficit Spending (CDS). Like the Fed, corporations can issue bonds, tax the public (raise prices), and print money (issue new shares). CDS will be stimulative, since money will be spent in huge amounts. Where it is spent will shift, and we may yet see Jenkins on the cover of Time as the "Man of the Year" for his efforts in averting various national crises. But money will be spent. In fact, the Fed will have to keep interest rates low so CDS can fund the Y2K remediation. Crisis, yes. Recession - maybe.