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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Seismo who wrote (41936)12/17/2012 11:29:34 AM
From: Keith Feral  Respond to of 223383
 
Lower mortgage rates over the past 5 years have eliminated a lot of the risk. JPM expects loans losses next year to be around $300 million per quarter. It will probably take another year beyond that for BAC to get down to those levels.

The accumulation of capital by the banks is really what I'm referring to. US banks have already exceed most of the requirements for Basel 3, and they will have even more accumulation of capital this quarter as they eliminate even more LT debt. At some point, BAC and C will catch up to JPM and WFC in terms of market cap next year, or at least close the gap.

I think that will continue to reduce downward pressure on the yield curve like we saw this year.