smaycs4, Thanks for the idea. Here is some supplemental research on Star Buffet Inc.
Long Equity- Star Buffet, Inc. (OTC:STRZQ)
My conservative 3-6 month target price is $4.23. Star’s total market cap is under $7 million and, due to its small size and illiquidity, this write-up should probably be used for personal accounts and extremely small funds. It is not actionable if you need to put $1 million to work. However, it is due to its small size that the opportunity exists and is so compelling.
Star Buffet Capital Structure As of Petition Date: Secured Debt Party Type Collateral Amount Wells Fargo Term 5 Restaurants $ 3,100,000 Wells Fargo Revolver 5 Restaurants $ 2,475,000 Wells Fargo Mortgage Artesia, NM $ 199,000 Stockman's Bank Mortgage Great Falls, MT $ 571,825 Stockman's Bank Mortgage Great Falls, MT $ 308,195 Local FL Bank Mortgage Titusville, FL $ 706,000 Platinum Bank Mortgage Plant City, FL $ 640,000 Victorium Corp Mortgage Ocala, FL $ 200,000 Dalhart Federal Mortgage Dalhart, TX $ 425,000 Bank of Utah Mortgage Layton, UT $ 1,062,000 Total Secured Debt $ 9,687,020 Subordinated Debt Party Type Amount Robert Wheaton Note $ 2,227,892 Total Subordinated Debt $ 2,227,892 Total Debt $11,914,912
It is important to note that the continuing restaurant operations include 9-10 owned properties. Even assuming that my value for the restaurant operations is incorrect, according to property tax records and my estimates, these 9-10 buildings are worth a minimum of $5-7 million. This at least provides a decent margin of safety once Star exits Chapter 11 and a potential source of future value extraction for shareholders. It is also worth pointing out that Star has some current cash on hand, generated from its restaurant operations while in Chapter 11. Star’s attorney would not tell me the exact amount, but did say it was “significant”. When I asked him to give me a range, he gave me between $1 million and $5 million. I use $1 million in my calculation of value. A table of my pro-forma estimate of “sources of value” is shown below.
Sources of Value Amount Exit Loan from Wheaton $ 300,000 Cash on hand $ 1,000,000 RE Sales of 5 Wells Fargo Properties $ 5,440,000 RE Sales from 4 Other Encumbered Properties $ 4,126,750 RE Sales from 1 Unencumbered Property $ 1,912,500 Value of Continuing 25 Restaurants $ 18,000,000 Total Sources of Value $ 30,779,250
Conceptually, this valuation of approximately $30.8 million for the entirety of the enterprise is not unreasonable. In the middle of 2008, on a similar asset base, in a severely worsening economy, the market valued Star’s enterprise at over $33 million. The only thing that has changed about the assets is that Star has closed underperforming, leased locations. The owned locations that Star chose to continue operating should be profitable. Also, shareholders actually have a path toward value realization (the monetization of the real estate) that, prior to Chapter 11 was not realistically going to occur. Therefore, the entirety of the previous $33 million valuation was based solely on Star’s restaurant operations. |