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To: jan m. who wrote (6788)12/3/1997 9:52:00 AM
From: Rob L.  Respond to of 31646
 
Warning on action over 'millennium bomb chaos'

By Paul Taylor
12/03/1997

A report published today warns that severe disruption to business is
likely because of the "millennium bomb" problem, in spite of a high
awareness of the issue among information technology professionals.

"Incorrect data processing could be catastrophic for businesses unable
to process orders, despatch invoices, calculate payments, process
transactions and so on," says the report by the PA Consulting Group.

Given that 68 per cent of organisations expect to be affected by the
problem before 2000 - with more than half of those surveyed expecting
to feel the impact in 1998 - PA says it is of particular concern that
so many have failed to take any formal action.

The report says: "It is PA's opinion that many
organisations will fail to fix the problem in time, and it is likely
that severe disruption to normal business operations will occur as a
result."

The study, based on responses from about 1,000 organisations in 15
countries, reveals 87 per cent of IT professionals are aware of the
problem - which is caused by the inability of software to recognise
dates after 1999. But the message is not getting through to senior
management.

According to PA, only 55 per cent of UK companies are fully aware of
the implications of the problem. In mainland Europe this figure is even
lower.

In the US 71 per cent of senior managers were perceived to be aware of
the issue. The level of awareness slips to 54 per cent in Asia, and in
mainland Europe 49 per cent of senior managers are viewed as fully
aware of the problem.

Among the survey's main findings were:

* Only 56 per cent of organisations have a formal year 2000 programme
in place.

* Forty-four per cent of the planned resources needed to fix year 2000
problems are expected to be obtained externally.

* Organisations are planning to spend an average $6.91m (4.13m)
to resolve their millennium problems.

* Over 60 per cent believe they will be affected by the problem before
2000.

* Smaller organisations are behind in understanding the implications
of the problem and fewer than a third have conducted an audit.

* Forty-four per cent of organisations have not included so called
embedded systems - electronic chips which control equipment such as
lifts, traffic lights and medical systems - in their audits.

* Almost a third are unable to estimate the cost of their millennium
programmes. The cost to organisations which did provide estimates was
$4.7bn.

The study comes less than a week after Tony Blair, the prime minister,
said the government was on course to tackle the millennium bomb in
public sector computers and estimated the cost at about 1bn.

Since then the government has been heavily criticised for complacency
by industry experts including Robin Guernier, executive director of
Taskforce 2000. Defusing the Millennium Bomb, PA Consulting. Tel:
0171-730 9000. 95.
Copyright Financial Times Limited 1997. All Rights Reserved.