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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1997 Short Picks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: CatLady who wrote (7742)	12/3/1997 12:51:00 PM
From: Bearded One	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 9285

You're probably right. It's just that I like to think about the unexpected, sometimes. I also think Compaq and IBM could better stand a price war than Dell.

To: CatLady who wrote (7742)	12/3/1997 12:53:00 PM
From: Pancho Villa	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 9285

CL AND ALLLLLLL: >>Looking at charts last night I became so bearish that I closed out all the longs in my trading account at the open and am entirely in puts and shorts now. << Did not take the same [drastic] action as you but felt the same way. You know people are talking to much about: 1. December usually being a high month; 2. the January effect, 3. tax selling now and then buying again in january the stuff sold because of taxes; 4. the inflow of funds from bonuses at the begining og the year as the "big rockets" for the bull market..... Well do you want to know my [probably wrong] opinion is? IMO all the BULL S.....T above are second order effects items!!!!! People better be carefull and watchout! Trying to take over a car on the fast lane (i.e., going too long) based on this cheap talk can get you into a head on collision if the market moves the other way! The fundamentals is that company forecast earnings of transnational companies were based on the premisses that the underdeveloped world was going to boom in consumption. What is happening in Asia(including japan)/SA in not chicken S...T. Yes, big deal, Alan Greenspan said all will be fine [in Asia]. What do you expect? Do you think the guy is going to create a panic situation "a la Barton Riggs(sp?)". No he is smarter than that + he knows we are all a bunch of sheep that will sit calmly. Pancho