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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Fiscally Conservative who wrote (44041)	1/17/2013 9:16:48 PM
From: Keith Feral	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 218515

The debt ceiling clock could begin ticking next week. Then, the sequester issue in March. Things won't be getting easier any time soon, and rising 10 year yields could become a warning signal that investors are no longer willing to take the risk in Treasuries if the repo market explodes. I never thought the tax issue carried much risk, but the debt ceiling does. All I know is the upside potential in the market doesn't seem worth the current downside risks at current valuations. No doubt in my mind that I'll be stopped out of more positions tomorrow to protect gains and capital. Nobody wanted a showdown going through the holidays, now the market has a couple hundred points to play around with on the downside before things even got "serious". Japan seems to be a big beneficiary of all the uncertainty in the US right now as they pummel the yen to prop up their markets. I think we'll see a very orderly march lower tomorrow as people lock out gains. Probably more of the same when markets reopen on Tuesday. Until this thing is resolved, earnings don't look like they are going to help in any way, shape or form.

To: Fiscally Conservative who wrote (44041)	1/18/2013 6:42:19 AM
From: GROUND ZERO™	Respond to of 218515

Yes, these markets are 100% manipulated by the FED, I have absolutely no doubt about that, they even say they do in so many thinly veiled words and phrases... Human nature and intuition is an odd thing, and these markets move counter to human intuition... this is why most people buy at the top and sell at the bottom, because they react to what they see, just like a dog chasing a rabbit, sort of Pavlovian, we see and we automatically react, and we never change because our intuitive reactions are not in sync with these markets... and this is why most people eventually lose all their money... GZ