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Biotech / Medical : Spine-Tech (SPYN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Royalcoachman who wrote (213)12/4/1997 10:56:00 AM
From: John Bloxom  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 242
 
Uh, David...

A 12.9% compounded growth rate on sequential quarters equals a year over year growth rate of 62%; that rate, in turn will command a 52 week high multiple way in excess of 38x.

Maybe you should consider changing out the batteries in that calculator of yours. Or, if it is a solar model, try moving closer to a window.

Regards,

John



To: Royalcoachman who wrote (213)12/6/1997 6:20:00 PM
From: utee  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 242
 
It absolutely amazed me that you would have taken the time to post such a thorough analyses of this company in response to the muddled input and sometimes downright false info that has been posted on this board since it's inception. In particular, a "JBERSHAD" posts regularly on this board - and his major contribution seems to be how many "analysts" are touting this stock as a "buy". If someone posts a fact he doesn't like about this stock - he gets very nasty, like a baby when he loses his binky.

Although your post 213 was essentially correct, your forecast of overvaluation of the stock is somewhat low. Generally, a comp[any in this field claiming 25% market for its product is overstating for the IPO, and from my experience, they will not even get 10% of the 25%share of this particular market - too many experienced competitors, inexperienced management, technique requirements, new competeing products , etc. etc. etc.

But, thanks for bringing some sanity to this board to what appears to attract a lot of losers

Utee



To: Royalcoachman who wrote (213)12/7/1997 12:34:00 AM
From: ForYourEyesOnly  Respond to of 242
 
Thank you for your response. We are both busy, so I will keep my response simple.

1. What is the reason that the SPYN product is only to be used in 1/4 of the total number of procedures?
2. Suppose that SYPN gets the 100,000 operations per year, and makes $300M per year in revenue. If they have 15% profits on this, then they will make $45M/year in profits, or about $4.5 per share. At $33/ a share, is this really overvalued?
3. As another poster has kindly pointed out, Q to Q sequential revenue increases of 12% is excellent, and if sustainable would turn into excellent Y to Y revenue increases.

Good luck....

THC