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Technology Stocks : Intel Strategy for Achieving Wealth and Off Topic -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sonny McWilliams who wrote (13973)12/4/1997 1:46:00 PM
From: Stonehenge  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 27012
 
Hi Sonny and all. Check this out.
vectorvest.com

We hope you find your individual stock analysis informative and enlightening. It is
provided to allow you to view the data we provide on over 6000 stocks every day
along with explanations of each parameter to help you evaluate your selection. As a
VectorVest subscriber you would receive a complete download of the same data on
more than 6000 stocks on a daily basis. This would be merged with the historical
database residing on your computer. VectorVest Prographics gives you the the
ability to sort, filter, and screen on any parameter or build your own strategies and
trends to bring the best (or worst) to the top. You can also follow stocks in a
Watchlist, track your Portfolio, or read the weekly VectorVest Views to name just a
few features.
If you want to know more, then go to our features page
vectorvest.com. If you would like to try out the program,
then sign up for our trial subscription offer vectorvest.com.

Stock Analysis of Intel

Thank you for requesting an analysis of Intel from VectorVest ProGraphics. The
ticker symbol for Intel is INTC. INTC is traded on the NASDAQ and options are
available on this stock.

PRICE: INTC closed on 03-Dec-1997 at $78.50 per share.

VALUE: INTC has a Value of $121.90 per share. Value is the foundation of the
VectorVest system. It is a measure of what a stock is currently worth. Value is based
upon earnings, earnings growth rate, dividend payments, dividend growth rate, and
financial performance. Current interest and inflation rates also play an important role
in the computation of Value. When interest and/or inflation rates decrease, Value
goes up. When interest rates and inflation increase, Value goes down. Sooner or
later a stock's Price and Value always converge.

RV (Relative Value): INTC has an RV of 1.52. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an
RV of 1.52 is excellent. RV reflects the long-term price appreciation potential of the
stock compared to an alternative investment in AAA Corporate Bonds. Stocks with
RV ratings above 1.00 have attractive upside potential. A stock will have an RV
greater than 1.00 when its Value is greater than Price, and its Relative Safety (see
below) and forecasted earnings growth rate are above average. In some cases,
however, a stock's RV will be above 1.00 even though its Value is well below
Price. This happens when a stock has an exemplary record of financial performance
and an above average earnings growth rate. In this case, the stock is currently selling
at a premium, and the investor is banking on future earnings growth to drive the
stock's price higher. This information is very useful not only in knowing whether or
not a stock has favorable price appreciation potential, but it also solves the riddle of
whether to buy high growth, high P/E, or low growth, low P/E stocks.

We believe that RV ratings above 1.00 are required to consistently achieve above
average capital gains in the stock market.

RS (Relative Safety): INTC has an RS rating of 1.38. On a scale of 0.00 to
2.00, an RS of 1.38 is excellent. VectorVest looks at safety from the viewpoint of an
equity investor (one who is buying stock of a company) rather than that of a
purchaser of debt (one who is lending money to the company). From this
perspective, consistency of financial and operating performance, stock price
appreciation history, and price volatility are the key factors used in the evaluation of
Relative Safety (RS). Debt to equity ratio, capitalization, sales volume, business
longevity and other factors are also considered, but to a lesser degree.

VectorVest favors steady, predictable performers. All stocks are rated on a scale of
0.00 to 2.00. A stock with an RS greater than 1.00 is safer and more predictable
than the average of all stocks. A stock with an RS less than 1.00 is less predictable
and riskier than the average stock.

RT (Relative Timing): INTC has an RT rating of 0.78. On a scale of 0.00 to
2.00, an RT of 0.78 is poor. RT is a fast, responsive, short-term price trend
indicator. It analyzes the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price
behavior over the last 13 weeks; then reflects and projects the short-term price
performance of the stock. Once a stock's Price has established a strong trend, it is
expected to continue that trend for the short-term. If the trend dissipates, RT will
gravitate towards 1.00. Should the price change dramatically, RT will notice the
crucial turning point. When warranted, it will explode from a Price low and dive
from a Price high.

All stocks are rated on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. If RT is above 1.00, the stock's Price
is in an uptrend. Below 1.00, the stock's Price is in a downtrend.

VST-Vector (VST): INTC has a VST-Vector rating of 1.24. On a scale of 0.00
to 2.00, an VST of 1.24 is very good. VST-Vector solves the dilemma of balancing
Value, Safety and Timing. Stocks with high RV values often have low RS values, or
stocks with low RV and RS values have high RT's. How can we find the stocks
with the best combinations of Value, Safety, and Timing?

The classic vector formula (square root of the sum of the squares) handles this
problem. It combines a set of forces into a single indicator for ranking every stock in
the VectorVest database. Stocks with the highest VST-Vector have the best
combinations of Value, Safety and Timing. These are the ones to own for above
average capital application.

GRT (Growth Rate): INTC has a GRT of 19 % per year. This is very good.
GRT stands for forecasted Earnings Growth Rate in percent per year. GRT is
updated each week for every stock. Watch GRT trends very carefully. If the GRT
trend is up, the stock's Price will likely rise. If the GRT trend is down, the stock's
Price will increase more slowly, cease to increase, or subsequently fall.

Recommendation (REC): INTC has a Hold recommendation. REC reflects the
cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These
parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks which are
rising in price, and to avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks which are falling in
price.

VectorVest is tuned to give an "H" or "B" signal when a stock's price is
approximately 10% above a recent low, and an "S" signal when the stock's price is
approximately 10% below a recent high. High RV, RS stocks are favored toward
receiving "B" REC's, and sheltered from receiving "S" RECs.

STOP-PRICE: INTC has a Stop-Price of $74.00 per share. This is $4.50 or
5.7% below its current closing Price. VectorVest analyzes over 6,000 stocks each
day for Value, Safety and Timing, and calculates a Stop-Price for each stock. These
Stop-Prices are based upon 13 week moving averages of closing prices, and are
fine-tuned according to each stock's fundamentals.

In the VectorVest system, a stock gets a "B" or an "H" recommendation if its price is
above its Stop-Price, and an "S" recommendation if its price is below its Stop-Price.

DIV (Dividend): INTC pays an annual dividend of 0.12 per share. VectorVest
focuses on annual,regular, cash dividends indicated by the most recent
disbursement. Special distributions, one-time payments, stock dividends, etc.,
generally are not included in Dividend (DIV).

DY (Dividend Yield): INTC has a DY of 0.2 percent. This is below the current
market average of 1.3 percent. DY equals 100 x (DIV/PRICE), and is expressed as a
percentage.

EY (Earnings Yield): INTC has an EY of 5.30%. This is above the current
market average of 5.02%. EY equals 100 x (EARNINGS PER SHARE/PRICE),
and is expressed as a percentage.

EPS (Earnings Per Share): INTC has an EPS of $4.16 per share. EPS stands
for leading 12 months Earnings Per Share. VectorVest determines this forecast from
a combination of recent earnings performance and traditional fiscal and/or calendar
year earnings forecasts.

P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): INTC has a P/E ratio of 18.87. This ratio is
computed daily based upon Price and EPS. P/E = Price/EPS.

GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio): INTC has a GPE of 1.01. This ratio suggests that
This ratio suggests that INTC is undervalued. Growth to P/E ratio is a popular
measure of stock valuation which compares Earnings Growth Rate (GRT) to Price
Earnings ratio (P/E). A stock is considered to be undervalued when GPE is greater
than 1.00, and vice-versa. VectorVest believes that RV is a much better indicator of
long-term value. The RV of 1.52 for INTC is excellent.

DS (Dividend Safety): INTC has a DS of 97. On a scale of 0 to 99, a DS of 97
is excellent. DS is defined as the assurance that regular cash dividends will be
declared and paid at current or at higher rates for the foreseeable future. Stocks with
DS values above 50 on a scale of 0 to 99 are above average in safety.

RISK (Dividend Risk): INTC has a Dividend Risk of Low. All stocks in the
VectorVest system that pay dividends are classified as having Low, Medium or High
Dividend Risk (RISK). Stocks with DS values above 50 are above average in safety.
These stocks are classified as having LOW or MEDIUM RISK. Stocks with DS
values below 50 are below average in safety and are classified as having HIGH
Risk.

DG (Dividend Growth): INTC has a DG of 14 percent per year. Dividend
Growth is a subtle yet important indicator of a company's historical financial
performance and the board's current outlook on the future use of funds.

YSG-VECTOR (Yield-Safety-Growth Vector): INTC has a YSG-Vector
of 1.19. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an YSG-Vector rating of 1.19 is good.
VectorVest combines Dividend YIELD, SAFETY and GROWTH into a single
parameter. YSG-Vector allows direct comparison of all dividend paying stocks.
Stocks with the highest YSG-Vector values have the best combinations of Dividend
Yield, Safety and Growth. These are the stocks to buy for above average current
income and long-term growth.

VOL(100)s: INTC traded 13777600 shares on 03-Dec-1997.

AVG VOL(100)s: INTC has an Average Volume of 17381830. Average Volume
is 50 day moving average of daily volume as computed by VectorVest.

% VOL: INTC had a Volume change of -20.7% from its 50 day moving average
volume.

OPEN: INTC opened trading at $77.60 per share on 03-Dec-1997.

HIGH: INTC traded at a high of $79.20 per share on 03-Dec-1997.

LOW: INTC traded at a low of $76.10 per share on 03-Dec-1997.

CLOSE: INTC Closed trading at $78.50 per share on 03-Dec-1997.

% PRC: INTC showed a Price change of 0.5% from the prior day's closing price.

INDUSTRY: INTC has been assigned to the Electronic (Semicndtr Mfg) Group.
VectorVest classifies stocks into over 190 Industry Groups and 50 Business
Sectors.

INTC has well above average safety with well above average upside potential. It
reflects a stock which is likely to give well above average, quite consistent returns
over the long term.

The basic strategy of VectorVest is to buy low risk, high reward stocks. We suggest
that Prudent investors buy enough high Relative Value, high Relative Safety stocks
to keep the overall RV and RS ratings of their portfolios above 1.00. As you do this,
you'll find that your risk will go down and your investment performance will
improve. Not a bad combination.

Thank you for your interest in VectorVest ProGraphics.

c Copyright 1997 by MarketSoft, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
2167 Werhle Drive, Williamsville, NY 14221
For additional information, call 1-888-658-7638, e-mail to sales@vectorvest.com, or visit our
internet site at vectorvest.com

VectorVest is registered as an investment advisor with the United States Securities and Exchange
Commission. VectorVest ProGraphics is comprised of reports embodying a unique system of stock
analysis. All contents and recommendations are based on data and sources believed to be reliable, but
accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Users should be aware of the risks involved in stock
investments. It should not be assumed that future results will be profitable or will equal past performance,
real, indicated or implied. VectorVest and/or its principals may purchase or sell any of the securities cited
herin. VectorVest and the logostyle, geometric design are, individually and collectively, service marks
licensed by MarketSoft, Inc. VectorVest ProGraphics is published daily by Marketsoft, Inc. 2167 Wehrle
Drive, Williamsville NY 14221 1-716



To: Sonny McWilliams who wrote (13973)12/4/1997 1:55:00 PM
From: billwot  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27012
 
Sonny-I am familiar to the Wash Rule as it applies to losses. Just to clarify, I have realized losses in COMS and WDC, and have not/will not repurchase in the time frame affected by wash sales. I want to sell some holdings that I have deep profits in (eg INTC), apply my COMS/WDC losses to avoid 1997 taxes, then repurchase INTC at current market price, increasing my basis to reduce future taxes. Not sure I made that clear in my original post. I emailed my CPA daughter, so I hope she can get me an answer, although she is not a tax accountant.

MRK is saving my portfolio today. What are your current thoughts on APM? Are you still in?

billwot