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To: Dennis Roth who wrote (177450)3/27/2013 6:24:05 AM
From: Dennis Roth3 Recommendations  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 206161
 
Global Oil Demand Growth – The End Is Nigh — The Substitution of
Natural Gas for Oil Combined With Increasing Fuel Economy Means
Oil Demand Is Approaching a Tipping Point
Seth M Kleinman +44-20-7986-7084
26 March 2013 ¦ 20 pages Click Here for Report

The combination of an accelerating push to substitute natural gas for oil and
ongoing improvements in fuel economy is enough to mean that oil demand
growth may be topping out much sooner than the market expects. The shift from
oil to gas is already underway in the US, where the shale gas revolution is giving
a huge economic incentive to make the switch. As the US shift gains pace,
politics, greater natural gas availability and environmental concerns are
facilitating the trend globally...

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Article about the above report

Citi: 'The End Is Nigh' For Oil
Rob Wile | Mar. 26, 2013, 11:21 AM
Read more: businessinsider.com



To: Dennis Roth who wrote (177450)3/27/2013 6:59:39 PM
From: Dennis Roth3 Recommendations  Respond to of 206161
 
What an 18th century treatise on population can teach us about energy resources
By David Wogan | March 26, 2013
blogs.scientificamerican.com



To: Dennis Roth who wrote (177450)3/27/2013 8:23:08 PM
From: Dennis Roth1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 206161
 
Do high natural gas prices mean the shale boom is ending?
High natural gas prices seriously undermine the official story that the US has a century of cheap natural gas waiting for the drillbit, Cobb writes.
By Kurt Cobb, Guest blogger / March 26, 2013
csmonitor.com

As U.S. natural gas prices flirt with the $4 mark, some skeptics of the so-called shale gas revolution think prices are headed much higher. Such a move would, not surprisingly, seriously undermine the official story that the United States has a century of cheap natural gas waiting for the drillbit...

...The trend is so ominous that two industry insiders I know believe that U.S. natural gas production could actually start declining soon and send prices soaring. They say drillers have fallen so far behind that it will be impossible to make up for production lost from existing shale gas wells. Those wells typically see production decline rates of 85 percent after two years. (Translation: Some 85 percent of existing production from shale gas wells must be replaced every two years BEFORE production can grow.)The future is, of course, unknown to us. But, the present and the past suggest that the so-called shale gas revolution is about to be laid to rest...

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So $4 gas means "The End is Nigh" for natural gas, at least according to A.S.P.O. member Kurt Cobb the author of the peak-oil-themed novel, 'Prelude,' and A.S.P.O. director Art Berman.