Anybody following this other than me? Nice move yesterday to finally break and hold above 40 resistance. Haven't seen any news to justify the jump....will this be returning to is rightful place in the 60's? Actually 84 according to this....
vectorvest.com
PRICE: GUC closed on 02-Mar-1998 at $45.10 per share.
VALUE: GUC has a Value of $84.50 per share. Value is the foundation of the VectorVest
system.It is a measure of what a stock is currently worth. Value is based upon earnings, earnings
growth rate, dividend payments, dividend growth rate, and financial performance. Current interest
and inflation rates also play an important role in the computation of Value. When interest and/or
inflation rates decrease, Value goes up. When interest rates and inflation increase, Value goes
down. Sooner or later a stock's Price and Value always converge.
RV (Relative Value): GUC has an RV of 1.46. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RV of 1.46 is
excellent. RV reflects the long-term price appreciation potential of the stock compared to an
alternative investment in AAA Corporate Bonds. Stocks with RV ratings above 1.00 have
attractive upside potential. A stock will have an RV greater than 1.00 when its Value is greater
than Price, and its Relative Safety (see below) and forecasted earnings growth rate are above
average. In some cases, however, a stock's RV will be above 1.00 even though its Value is well
below Price. This happens when a stock has an exemplary record of financial performance and an
above average earnings growth rate. In this case, the stock is currently selling at a premium, and
the investor is banking on future earnings growth to drive the stock's price higher. This information
is very useful not only in knowing whether or not a stock has favorable price appreciation potential,
but it also solves the riddle of whether to buy high growth, high P/E, or low growth, low P/E
stocks.
We believe that RV ratings above 1.00 are required to consistently achieve above average capital
gains in the stock market.
RS (Relative Safety): GUC has an RS rating of 0.90. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RS of
0.90 is fair. VectorVest looks at safety from the viewpoint of an equity investor (one who is buying
stock of a company) rather than that of a purchaser of debt (one who is lending money to the
company). From this perspective, consistency of financial and operating performance, stock price
appreciation history, and price volatility are the key factors used in the evaluation of Relative Safety
(RS). Debt to equity ratio, capitalization, sales volume, business longevity and other factors are
also considered, but to a lesser degree.
VectorVest favors steady, predictable performers. All stocks are rated on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00.
A stock with an RS greater than 1.00 is safer and more predictable than the average of all stocks.
A stock with an RS less than 1.00 is less predictable and riskier than the average stock.
RT (Relative Timing): GUC has an RT rating of 1.27. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RT of
1.27 is very good. RT is a fast, responsive, short-term price trend indicator. It analyzes the
direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price behavior over the last 13 weeks; then
reflects and projects the short-term price performance of the stock. Once a stock's Price has
established a strong trend, it is expected to continue that trend for the short-term. If the trend
dissipates, RT will gravitate towards 1.00. Should the price change dramatically, RT will notice the
crucial turning point. When warranted, it will explode from a Price low and dive from a Price high.
All stocks are rated on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. If RT is above 1.00,the stock's Price is in an
uptrend. Below 1.00, the stock's Price is in a downtrend.
VST-Vector (VST): GUC has a VST-Vector rating of 1.23. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an
VST of 1.23 is very good. VST-Vector solves the dilemma of balancing Value, Safety and Timing.
Stocks with high RV values often have low RS values, or stocks withlow RV and RS values have
high RT's. How can we find the stocks with the best combinations of Value, Safety, and Timing?
The classic vector formula (square root of the sum of the squares) handles this problem. It
combines a set of forces into a single indicator for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database.
Stocks with the highest VST-Vector have the best combinations of Value, Safety and Timing.
These are the ones to own for above average capital application.
GRT (Growth Rate): GUC has a GRT of 18 % per year. This is very good. GRT stands for
forecasted Earnings Growth Rate in percent per year. GRT is updated each week for every stock.
Watch GRT trends very carefully. If the GRT trend is up, the stock's Price will likely rise. If the
GRT trend is down, the stock's Price will increase more slowly, cease to increase, or subsequently
fall.
Recommendation (REC): GUC has a Buy recommendation. REC reflects the cumulative
effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help
investors buy safe, undervalued stocks which are rising in price, and to avoid or sell risky,
overvalued stocks which are falling in price.
VectorVest is tuned to give an "H" or "B" signal when a stock's price is approximately 10% above
a recent low, and an "S" signal when the stock's price is approximately 10% below a recent high.
High RV, RS stocks are favored toward receiving "B" REC's, and sheltered from receiving "S"
RECs.
STOP-PRICE: GUC has a Stop-Price of$ 40.90 per share. This is $4.20 or9.3% belowits
current closing Price. VectorVest analyzes over 6,000 stocks each day for Value, Safety and
Timing, and calculates a Stop-Price for each stock. These Stop-Prices are based upon 13 week
moving averages of closing prices, and are fine-tuned according to each stock's fundamentals.
In the VectorVest system, a stock gets a "B" or an "H" recommendation if its price is above its
Stop-Price, and an "S" recommendation if its price is below its Stop-Price.
DIV (Dividend): GUC pays an annual dividend of 0.29 per share. VectorVest focuses on
annual, regular, cash dividends indicated by the most recent disbursement. Special distributions,
one-time payments, stock dividends, etc., generally are not included in Dividend (DIV).
DY (Dividend Yield): GUC has a DY of 0.6 percent. This is below the current market
average of 1.2 percent. DY equals 100 x (DIV/PRICE), and is expressed as a percentage.
EY (Earnings Yield): GUC has an EY of 9.39%. This is above the current market average of
5.00%. EY equals 100 x (EARNINGS PER SHARE/PRICE), and is expressed as a percentage.
EPS (Earnings Per Share): GUC has an EPS of $4.23 per share. EPS stands for leading 12
months Earnings Per Share. VectorVest determines this forecast from a combination of recent
earnings performance and traditional fiscal and/or calendar year earnings forecasts.
P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): GUChas a P/E ratio of 10.66. This ratio is computed daily
based upon Price and EPS. P/E = Price/EPS.
GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio): GUC has a GPE of 1.69. This ratio suggests that This ratio
suggests that GUC is undervalued. Growth to P/E ratio is a popular measure of stockvaluation
which compares Earnings Growth Rate (GRT) to Price Earnings ratio (P/E). A stock is considered
to be undervalued when GPE isgreater than 1.00, and vice-versa. VectorVest believes that RV is
a much better indicator of long-term value. The RV of 1.46 for GUC is excellent.
DS (Dividend Safety): GUC has a DS of 62. On a scale of 0 to 99, a DS of 62 is good. DS is
defined as the assurance that regular cash dividends will be declared and paid at current or at
higher rates for the foreseeable future. Stocks with DS values above 50 on a scale of 0 to 99
areabove average in safety.
RISK (Dividend Risk): GUC has a Dividend Risk of Med. All stocks in the VectorVest
system that pay dividends are classified as having Low, Medium or High Dividend Risk (RISK).
Stocks with DS values above 50 are above average in safety. These stocks are classified as having
LOW or MEDIUM RISK. Stocks with DS values below 50 are below average in safety and are
classified as having HIGH Risk.
DG (Dividend Growth): GUC has a DG of 0 percent per year. Dividend Growth is a subtle
yet important indicator of a company's historical financial performance and the board's current
outlook on the future use of funds.
YSG-VECTOR (Yield-Safety-Growth Vector): GUC has a YSG-Vector of 0.63. On a
scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an YSG-Vector rating of 0.63 is poor. VectorVest combines Dividend
YIELD, SAFETY and GROWTH into a single parameter. YSG-Vector allows direct comparison
of all dividend paying stocks. Stocks with the highest YSG-Vector values have the best
combinations of Dividend Yield, Safety and Growth. These are the stocks to buy for above
average current income and long-term growth.
VOL(100)s: GUC traded 783300 shares on 02-Mar-1998.
AVG VOL(100)s: GUC has an Average Volume of 396604. Average Volume is 50 day
moving average of daily volume as computed by VectorVest.
% VOL: GUC had a Volume change of 97.5% from its 50 day moving average volume.
OPEN: GUC opened trading at $45.00 per share on 02-Mar-1998.
HIGH: GUC traded at a high of $45.60 per share on 02-Mar-1998.
LOW: GUC traded at a low of $44.90 per share on 02-Mar-1998.
CLOSE: GUC Closed trading at $45.10 per share on 02-Mar-1998.
% PRC: GUC showed a Price change of 7.6% from the prior day's closing price.
INDUSTRY: GUC has been assigned to the Textile (Apparel) Group. VectorVest classifies
stocks into over 190 Industry Groups and 50 Business Sectors.
GUC has about average safety with well above average upside potential. It reflects a stock which
is likely to give well above average,relatively consistent returns over the long term.
The basic strategy of VectorVest is to buy low risk, high reward stocks. We suggest that Prudent
investors buy enough high Relative Value, high Relative Safety stocks to keep the overall RV and
RS ratings of their portfolios above 1.00. As you do this, you'll find that your risk will go down and
your investment performance will improve. Not a bad combination. |
