SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Micron Only Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Trey McAtee who wrote (24788)12/5/1997 5:29:00 PM
From: Skeeter Bug  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 53903
 
>>"The thing you've got to understand about Kurlak,"
says a hedge fund manager, "is that he's an entertainer. He's never
been about fundamental research. He's about showmanship." <<

hey, it is all a game. that money fido lost wasn't real... hey, my 401k statement sucks...



To: Trey McAtee who wrote (24788)12/6/1997 10:22:00 AM
From: Thomas G. Busillo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 53903
 
Trey, IMHO it's a little early to establish an "investment" position, but I'm operating under the assumption that whatever net upside comes out of the Asian fallout on the industry-level won't be seen in pricing until Spring.

Then again, maybe the assumption that there will be an "upside" in the industry and that MU will reap some benefit is what's sort of kept MU from hitting its late-Oct. bottom despite the estimates coming down dramatically (thanks for the post Jim).

And then you also have to deal with how well MU executes on the firm-level.

I'm not "investment-oriented", but I guess I'd rather be a little late to the party and trade-off a few points of upside in exchange for evidence that my assumptions are more right than wrong.

If you really like the thing and somehow come to the conclusion that "the worst is over" (which I don't think is the case), maybe you buy the asset in tandem with some protective puts?

They're reporting soon, and the way I'm sizing it up the expectations are so bad going in that maybe this thing is setting up for the dreaded "bad earnings followed by short squeeze" scenario...in which case I'd probably short the retracement on the expectation that despite...alright this getting ugly, as there are obviously a number of scenarios and reading everyone's expectations is tough.

Suffice it to say that as usual "I don't know", but IMHO you're not crazy for thinking about re-evaluating MU, maybe just a little early.

And on MU, I'm better at picking tops anyway <g>

Good trading,

Tom