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Microcap & Penny Stocks : Microcap Potential Homeruns--Credible, and Reporting -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ted M who wrote (972)5/27/2013 11:49:59 AM
From: NAG1  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1056
 
Ted,

Just my take on the small stocks that I have in my portfolio. But first to explain my way of looking at these small companies.

I usually work a lot and many times I don't have access or ability/time to trade on a regular basis so I am basically and buy and hold type of guy. With the small companies, may times thing can get dire in terms of finances which are usually related to taking a long time to get a product that is accepted by the market. I usually hold until I don't see a chance for the company to come back, I lose faith in management or sometimes I sell if I need a tax loss and wait for some positive signs in a company to buy back in.

I give IMSC about a 90% chance of success at this point so I am a buyer at these prices as I can free up funds to buy more. I think it would take a big screw by management for them not to make it, or something unexpected happening in their field for them not to succeed. We also need to see if they can make their product success pay off with actual earnings to support a higher share price.

VSYS I had at 90% but have lowered it to 75% right now. I am not selling but definitely not buying anymore. I keep waiting for the Freedom line to catch fire in terms of revenues and for them to be able to manage their growth from cash flow without having to do further secondaries. Their most recent secondary shows the confidence, I think, that most have that they will succeed with a price that was higher than the share price at the time as well as the options to buy at double the share price at the time of the offering. Good management but can they turn this into a commercial success, the most recent quarter has given some greater doubts.

BNLB has been successful so far but sometimes the field they are in can be tricky with peoples attitudes towards their types of products changing depending on the going mood out there. I am holding and not buying. Management seems reasonable. I put their chances at about 50%.

PYDS was way up there for me at about 90% but it has dropped to about 25% right now so I am holding but not selling at this point in time. Lots of questions raised by the last quarterly results and the lack of communication from management. If things don't improve by the end of the year I will take my losses on this one.

BKYI seems to be on the verge of success again. They always seem to on the verge of success but can't get to sustained profitability. I have used their products, although several years ago and liked the way they performed. The fact that one of their partners was bought out at a nice premium last year by Apple makes me believe that they have a decent chance of success. I am making a nice profit on my shares right now. I am holding and giving a 50-75% chance for success.

DECN is interesting because if they win the law suit with J&J, they will be very successful. I see those chances as a toss up and rate the chances as 50%. I add shares occasionally as funds become available.

I have held LLLI for several years and haven't sold any recently because whenever I have tried to sell, the market for the shares is so thin that I would lose most of the value of the share. The recent share price run up is interesting along with seeing a couple of financial filings makes me wonder if something is up with the company. The question for me is-should I sell into this share price run up or should I hold and see if something good is coming? Don't have a clue what to do with these shares. Most of the time, I forget they are there.

LQMT-Holding for now but not buying anymore. I put their chances for success right now at 25%. I think present management is decent and started with a company that was behind the 8 ball. Their big chance is if Apple can figure out how to mass produce a product with their technology before they give up the ghost.

SMID also seems like a company that never seems to get the respect they deserve probably because of some seasonality and economy issues that keep causing quarters that don't add up to a sustained profitability. I put their chances for success at about 25-50%. I have sold some recently in order to buy some shares of DECN and IMSC.

XPLT-bought a small amount just to be able to follow the company a little and try to figure out if I should try to buy some more at these prices.

MIMV-have a real small amount but will probably sell them soon. I like the idea of the company but when I have seen companies do the acquisition thing, things usually don't go well in my experience so I won't hold this one too much longer. I would put their chances of success at 10% but the wild card with them is that if they get something that catches on quickly with the new app economy, things can rise quickly.

I had MITK years ago but sold because I needed a tax loss to balance a gain and then forgot about them and then missed buying back in at a reasonable price. Congrats to all those that held or bought before all the share price appreciation.

Those are my thoughts on the companies that I am holding right now. Reasonable people can disagree. Good luck out there.

Neal



To: Ted M who wrote (972)5/29/2013 2:53:35 PM
From: Ted M  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1056
 
AVTC is dropping, but with good reason. The AGAIN fired their auditors. Some questionable things here..expecting further drops to the 1s and will take another look with a very cautious eye only then.