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To: Robert Scott Diver who wrote (24337)12/5/1997 7:01:00 PM
From: Meathead  Respond to of 176387
 
I poke fun at TA. I don't totally discount it because
I've been a student for quite a while. I perform TA
all the time but don't base investment decisions on it.
I do it for fun now because I don't believe in short
term trading in and out of stocks based on mathematical
manipulations of 5 variables (open, high, low, close, vol).
But, if you are a trader, proper TA (which takes years
to master) can improve the odds of a succesful trade
if for no other reason than every other trader is acting
on the same indicators. You're right about that.

Trading satisfies the basic human trait of impatience
whereas investing requires something most of us lack...
patience.

I've found that diligent FA to ferrit out quality stocks
with long term potential coupled with vigilant monitoring
of those fundamentals yields superior long term results.
I base this on 10 years of my own detailed studies,
simulations, statistical analysis and good ol trial
and error of which I've gone to great lengths to quantify.

I also listen to the pro's who've been at it far longer
than I have, who do it for a living, who have been humbled
many times, when the say don't try and time the market.
They can't, I can't, only those who have been at it for a
couple of years believe they consistently can.

Don't get me wrong, there are lots of trading strategies
that will yield profits consistently most of the time.
The problem is the sheer volume of trades needed to make
any real money.

Good luck with your trading..

MEATHEAD