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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: robert b furman who wrote (14095)6/4/2013 10:10:34 AM
From: John Pitera  Respond to of 33421
 
  • Wall Street Transfixed by SAC Deadline

    Published: Tuesday, 4 Jun 2013 | 6:40 AM ETBy: Peter Lattman

    For most of the day Monday, a report about the investor exodus at SAC Capital Advisors was the most-viewed article on the Bloomberg data terminals that permeate Wall Street trading floors.

    In part, the story's cliffhanger element drove its popularity. How much money will SAC investors pull out by a withdrawal deadline that expired late Monday? Will its billionaire owner, Steven A. Cohen, buffeted by the wave of so-called redemptions, shut the fund to outside investors and manage only his fortune? Will the government bring additional criminal charges as the insider trading investigation of the firm intensifies?

    But a major reason for the intense interest on Wall Street, senior brokerage firm officials say, is a commercial one: SAC has generated billions of dollars in revenues for brokerage firms over the years. Several executives — all citing client confidentiality — said that the prospect of a severely diminished SAC would hurt their bottom line, which has created fear and anxiety on trading desks across Wall Street.

    (Read More: SAC Capital Investors Could Pull Billions in Quarter)

    "This is going to have a significant impact to the Street, full stop," said a senior executive at a brokerage firm that counts SAC as one of its largest clients. "It's like that line in 'Bonfire of the Vanities': a lot of golden little crumbs have fallen off of SAC, and now it looks like there will be less of them."

    SAC employees — and the armies of brokers and stock salesmen that service the firm — are expecting outside investors to take back several billion dollars more by Monday's regularly scheduled quarterly deadline, according to people with direct knowledge of the firm. The Blackstone Group, SAC's largest outside investor, is expected to withdraw most of its money; another fund, Ironwood Capital Management, will also terminate its relationship with the firm.

    Combined with the $1.7 billion that outside investors took out earlier this year, the withdrawals could leave SAC and Mr. Cohen with only about $1 billion of other people's money. The fund could announce to its clients as soon as Tuesday the amount of money that investors asked to withdraw.

    Investors are fleeing during the continuing government inquiry into insider trading at SAC. The firm, which had been giving investors regular updates on the investigation, recently told investors — after its senior executives received grand jury subpoenas — that it was no longer fully cooperating with the government and would not be providing further updates. That announcement heightened investors' concerns, leading to an increase in withdrawal requests. At least nine former SAC employees have been tied to insider trading; four of them have pleaded guilty. Mr. Cohen has not been accused of any wrongdoing.

    Given the substantial outflows, Mr. Cohen and SAC officials are discussing the possibility of returning all outside capital and transforming SAC into a "family office" that manages Mr. Cohen's wealth, said people with knowledge of the firm's thinking. Of the $15 billion that SAC managed at the beginning of the year, about $8 billion is Mr. Cohen's, with about $1 billion more in employees' money.

    The loss of investors will cost SAC dearly and most likely will force it to reduce its staff of more than 1,000 employees. SAC, which is based in Stamford, Conn., pays for its large infrastructure by charging its investors some of the most expensive annual fees in the industry — as much as a 3 percent management fee and 50 percent of the profits. It commands those fees because of its nearly unparalleled investment track record, posting returns that have averaged nearly 30 percent a year over the last two decades.

    SAC Capital Q2 Redemption Deadline Today

While Mr. Cohen's investors have benefited from the superior performance, so have the Wall Street brokerage firms that have catered to Mr. Cohen's firm. The main reason, they say, boils down to one word: leverage. To juice its investment returns, SAC borrows heavily from banks, which earn big fees on the loans. The fund borrows, on average, about $3 for every dollar in the fund. At $15 billion managed, SAC had a staggering $45 billion in buying power.

People close to Mr. Cohen said that without outside investors, he would most likely run the business more conservatively and substantially reduce his borrowings.

SAC's billions of dollars in buying power, combined with the fund's aggressive trading style, have made it one of the top commission payers on Wall Street. Several executives said that the firm is a top trading client at most of the large banks, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, paying out several hundred million dollars a year in stock trading commissions annually. The fund is also a highly profitable and important customer for the banks because it is among the most active buyers of the lucrative initial public offerings and secondary offerings that they underwrite.

(Read More: SAC Capital Braces for $3.5 Billion in Redemptions)

"In these soft years for stocks, where margins have grown very thin, trading volume has become the lifeblood of the brokerage business," said Matt Samelson, principal at Woodbine Associates, a capital markets consulting and research firm. "When you've got a major player like SAC either going away or downsizing, this just erodes the trading volume that the big Wall Street firms have been fighting so hard to get."

Other areas of the large banks that generate big revenue from SAC are the so-called prime brokerage units, which provide a number of services to hedge funds, including lending money, clearing trades and introducing them to prospective investors. Most hedge funds use one or two prime brokers, but SAC has historically spread the wealth around, employing at least five, including Credit Suisse and JPMorgan Chase.

Wall Street officials note that despite the prospective loss in business, there are a number of silver linings. The impact of a diminished SAC would be buffered by the fact that Mr. Cohen would continue to manage billions of dollars. Another potential positive is that, should the fund reduce its head count, a number of leading SAC portfolio managers would be expected to start their own firms. The concern, however, was that their affiliation with SAC, whose reputation has been stained by the insider trading scandals, could hurt them in raising money.



To: robert b furman who wrote (14095)6/5/2013 1:52:24 AM
From: John Pitera  Respond to of 33421
 
Hi Bob.... are you sure you are still really interested in my opinion........ -vbg- my dear friend......

and I am not working too hard.. I am watching Craig Fergeson and Bill Maher Talk about smoking Pot and the Rolling Stones going back on tour..... I actually have someone who invited me to the Chicago show.....

I am not going to fly back to Chicago again.... unless Keith Richards...does an in depth live demonstration for his patented technique for staying up for 7 days............... joking

============================
To: B.K.Myers who wrote (1631)6/5/2013 1:25:30 AM
From: John Pitera of 1634
Hi BK.... this is the beta...version.. by definition the beta version has bugs ... as well as a bunch of things that the really savvy users will find that the software.... platform will not do and or it can be done better....

MSFT always used to give my Father and I Beta copies of all of their new products in the 1990's and as the head of systems Development at the precursor company of ENRON.... HOUSTON NATURAL GAS (Hi DAVID DUNCAN SMITH).... used to say the beta versions are put out much as a rough draft... which is then edited and refined...... so be gentle if there are a few things you would like to see improved....

change is good... Silicon Investor is moving forward at Warp Speed..... (Brad and Craig Longhurst are obviously spending time at CERN in Geneva Switzerland......funny how all roads lead to ROME and evidently Switzerland as well.

John Jacob Pitera.......

indiatoday.intoday.in

.....the hunt for the Higgs-Boson GOD PARTICLE.....

newsobserver.com

Hunt for world’s oldest WWW page leads to UNC Chapel HillPublished: May 24, 2013

By John Murawski — jmurawski@newsobserver.com
A global quest to find the first World Wide Web page has led to an antique computer at UNC-Chapel Hill.

A primitive iteration of that World Wide Web home page, created about a year after the birth of the web, has been preserved on a NeXT computer at UNC-CH.
It contains no graphics, no sounds, no variety of fonts. The page features explanatory text, typed on a paper-white background. It’s embedded with the characteristic hyperlinks that would allow for multidimensional travel through the universe of digital data.

And it has been diligently preserved by UNC professor Paul Jones, who got a copy from the Sir Tim Berners-Lee, the scientist credited with inventing the World Wide Web.

Jones came forward this week to say he had the artifact after hearing an NPR story about the search.

The World Wide Web was created between 1989 and 1991 in Switzerland at the European Organization for Nuclear Research, known as CERN, to facilitate information exchanges between scientists and researchers. In 1993, CERN released it for public use without charging royalties. It was a utopian declaration of collaboration, universal access and decentralized control that made all competitors obsolete.

For the 20th anniversary of its decision to promote unfettered access, CERN is collecting hardware and software from the era. That’s when it became apparent that the original virtual document had been lost.

The beta page, it seems, was wiped out of existence as soon as the first revision was typed in. Dozens of early versions of the page vanished with each subsequent keystroke.

The news flabbergasted the online digerati. One commenter lamented that the world has preserved multiple copies of the six-century-old Gutenberg Bible but can’t find the maiden image of the World Wide Web.

“We don’t really know what the first one looked like,” said Dan Noyes, a web manager at CERN. “It may be impossible to get it back – it may be overwritten.”

For a technology that mocks the past and reveres the future, the obsession with a relic website is unabashed nostalgia.

“We have a fetishism for the original,” Jones declared. The “totemic value” of the archetype cannot be underestimated in an industry that moves at the speed of light, he said.

“It shows us where we came from and how far we’ve come,” he said.

The very first version is believed to date to 1990, Noyes said. That makes UNC-CH’s the closest known version to the original.

Jones got a copy the next year from Berners-Lee, a CERN physicist, who came to North Carolina to demonstrate his creation. At the time, Jones was helping UNC-CH to develop its own network, SunSITE.

Jones made a copy of Berners-Lee’s dummy page, which was stored on an optical floppy disc – called a “floptical” – and duplicated it on his NeXT computer. He made other duplicates to work on but left the original copy intact, he said. Within two years he realized he was in the possession of a historic artifact.

“The thing is, I’m a hoarder,” Jones said. “The nice way of saying this is, I’ve always had an interest in digital archiving.”

Another witness to the Berners-Lee demo, Judd Knott, said the demo didn’t make a particularly strong impression on him, but UNC-CH embraced the new technology.

“I remember he was a nice gentleman with a British accent,” said Knott, now UNC-CH’s information security manager. “He helped us put up the sixth web server in the world.”

Murawski: 919-829-8932

Read more here: newsobserver.com
---------------------

so give John M a jingle and thank him for a really well researched article...... He Is available for freelance assignments........ But he does not come cheap....... he's like a lawyer..... bills by the hour -vbg- (I can probably get you a discount if you mention my name..... or .......

Read more here: newsobserver.com

Read more here: newsobserver.com



To: robert b furman who wrote (14095)6/6/2013 2:00:41 AM
From: John Pitera  Respond to of 33421
 
To: Fintas who wrote (51365)6/6/2013 1:58:38 AM
From: John Pitera of 51412
My Very Dear Friend..... your post is brilliant.... my bible has many, many names dates, times....

I have been using that analogy..... often the past month.... it's like you can hand people a treasure map and tell them that X Marks the spot.... now go and dig up your pot of Gold...... and all you get is a blank stare and total disbelief........

You know in the Book of John.... by chapter 2 we get right into the first of the signs of the messiah...his mother comes and admonishes her son... that there is no wine left during the wedding banquet.... "his response... was of what concern is it of mine, my time has not yet come..."

let's go to the reference book so I don't blow this one too....

"When the wine ran out, the mother of Jesus *said to Him, “They have no wine.” 4 And Jesus *said to her, “Woman, [ a]what does that have to do with us? My hour has not yet come.” 5 His mother *said to the servants, “Whatever He says to you, do it.” ....

"6 Now there were six stone waterpots set there for the Jewish custom of purification, containing [ b]twenty or thirty gallons each. 7 Jesus *said to them, “Fill the waterpots with water.” So they filled them up to the brim. 8 And He *said to them, Draw some out now and take it to the [ c]headwaiter.” So they took it to him. 9 When the headwaiter tasted the water which had become wine, and did not know where it came from (but the servants who had drawn the water knew), the headwaiter *called the bridegroom, 10 and *said to him, “Every man serves the good wine first, and when the people have [ d]drunk freely, then he serves the poorer wine; but you have kept the good wine until now.” 11 This beginning of His [ e]signs Jesus did in Cana of Galilee, and manifested His glory, and His disciples believed in Him.

biblegateway.com

My Friend V, I am pretty much used to most everyone getting pissed off at me.... regardless of what I say... and when I shut up and don't take their calls... then they are annoyed that I am keeping it real and trying to keep folks with a POSITIVE MENTAL ATTITUDE.... THE W CLEMENT STONE... SUCCESS SYSTEM THAT NEVER FAILS......

Peace be unto you,

John



To: robert b furman who wrote (14095)6/6/2013 2:44:01 AM
From: John Pitera  Respond to of 33421
 
Hi Bob.... as usual I come with questions and probably have a favor or two queued up .... at George Bush Intercontinental Airport... -g-

I'm thinking that you probably know Monty Meave-- Dealer Operator/ General Manager of Momentum BMW on highway 59 South... it's right before Sam Houston Beltway 8... and 4 miles north of Sugarland.... the parent company also has Momentum Porsche right across the street.....

I was dispatched to go and kick tires... and I have a question or two regarding the capital depreciation schedule...... You are my go to guy for this kind of stuff... as a matter of fact you are my go to guy for a lot off stuff.... I think I miss the woodlands...scratch that... I KNOW I miss good old 77380 you can put 55 Nouth longspur spring texas your mailing address and stuff magically shows up in the mail box in Grogan's point...

I like those little nuances in life.

... Mendham township.... Brookside .... and Morristown............ You can address mail to 15 east Main street in any of those 3 "towns" and it all comes to the same place.... I know.... I lived there when I was working at Chase..... and

it's way past my bedtime.....

John........