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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1997 Short Picks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: hasbeen101 who wrote (7888)	12/6/1997 10:19:00 AM
From: Pancho Villa	Respond to of 9285

DL >>I'm hopeless at predicting short-run market moves, but selective buying of quality US tech stocks looks like a good long-term investment IMHO.<< Easier to predict long term market moves than short term moves! If Saddam does not blow up the world, equities should provide a decent average return of around 10%/year nominal. However on any given year you may get +30% or -%20 as the market is risky! the standard deviation of the return for in a single year is 20%!!! Not for a buy and hold 25 year period the risk in reduced five fold! risk is inversily proportional to the square root of the holding period. Pancho