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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Fintas who wrote (51750)6/13/2013 11:04:13 AM
From: Joseph Silent  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 219290
 
Just in case anybody misunderstood ---- I expect the very worst case for a recovery to be approx 1500.

I don't know how long this correction will take, but if it is not done by early July I expect it will be done by
the end of July.

Then, from 1500, or preferably from around 1550 (say 1540-1560) the markets will recover and we will see
another bull market high. This may be late this year or early next year.

After that it is all up for grabs. My best guess is a bear market (big correction) all the way down to about spx
900-1000 and it will take perhaps two years. But this is far away and pure guesswork for now.

At this time I am merely looking for the next recovery point and a new high in the next 6-8 months or so.
Perhaps 1750, perhaps 1800. Who knows. But not down below 1490-1500 at this time.



To: Fintas who wrote (51750)6/13/2013 11:16:11 AM
From: sandeep  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 219290
 
the 10-day ema on spx is now below 20. I don't think it has quite done that since spx was 1400. It came close many times but didn't go below it. Also, the past few times it hit 50-day sma, it rallied and didn't go back till a new high was hit. Not this time. Time for extreme caution.