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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul Senior who wrote (51792)6/28/2013 4:06:12 PM
From: paulelgin  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78744
 
"Graham and Dodd's principles - such as the stability of cash flow, sufficiency of return, and analysis of downside risk - allow us to identify... investments with a margin of safety in any market environment. Even complex derivatives not imagined in an earlier era can be scrutinized with the value investor’s eye. While traders today typically price put and call options via the Black-Scholes model, one can instead use value-investing precepts—upside potential, downside risk, and the likelihood that each of various possible scenarios will occur—to analyze these instruments. An inexpensive option may, in effect, have the favorable risk-return characteristics of a value investment—regardless of what the Black-Scholes model dictates."

The above is taken from Seth Klarman's 2008 preface to the Sixth Edition of Security Analysis. As value investors, we must strike a balance between flexibility in searching various asset classes for value, while also maintaining our rigorous adherence to those criterion which constitute an absolute, rather than relative, value investment.

Philip Carret, Joel Greenblatt, and, notably, Charles Ledley and James Mai of Cornwall Capital, employed LEAPs in their value-oriented approach. Essentially, value investors should take advantage of opportunities created by volatility in instruments across asset classes which drive them to ridiculous levels, be those invesments in real estate, call and put options, gold, stocks, or bonds. However, we should refrain from posting about ideas of "relative," rather than absolute, value, as the inclusion of these securities (though their examination may flex our fundamental analysis muscles) is not appropriate as they constitute speculations rather than investments.

Paul Elgin