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To: Bill Ounce who wrote (3918)12/7/1997 4:47:00 PM
From: CuriousGeorge  Respond to of 116900
 
MS/65 Saint Gaudens - real old fashioned money

Yes, rarity is very important. Coins are graded from 1 thru 70, with 70 being
a perfectly struck proof coin with nary a blemish, scratch or copper spot.
MS is Mint State, or uncirculated. MS/67 is rarer than MS/66, MS/66 is
rarer than MS/65, etc etc. Generic coins are the most common dates.
If you get into rare dates you can not really negotiate price.

IMO, MS/65 generics offer a good balance of rarity vs. price. For example,
rather than buy one ultra rare coin for $5000., you can buy five MS/65s. When
the market heats up, rather than, "should I sell my one coin? Is this the top?"
dilemma, the investor with five coins can sell one coin a month and average
up (hopefully). I never worry about buying at he bottom (though I try) and I never
worry about selling at the top (though I try); I'm just happy to take a big CHUNK
out of the middle; and leave some profit for the next guy.

MS/65 St. Gaudens are the coin of choice for the investor (IMO),
but not for the collector.

A gold rally means a market crash? I don't know, was there a market crash
in 1980, or 1989 when coins last made new highs. Gold rallied in 1987
with the stock market. Maybe a gold rally would come well after a market
crash, during a subsequent dollar crash. Who knows???

PCGS vs. NGS (or is it NGC) - some dealers will try to give you NGS/NGC
graded coins rather than PCGS-Professional Coin Grading Service, for the
same price. However, these days (it always hasn't been so) most PCGS
coins are worth more. NGS/NGC seems to suffer from `grade inflation',
in order to induce dealers to have coins graded by NGS/NGC. PCGS is
the industry standard, any PCGS authorized dealer will not question the
grade of a PCGS coin. Never, no how, no way.

The Wells Fargo coins may out perform generic MS/65s, however they are
currently about $160.00 more than generic MS/65s. If the MS/65 generic
appreciates during a gold price rally to $6000.00, or 500 percent, will a
Wells Fargo be worth $960.00 more, or $6960? I don't know. For the
most part, 1908 No Mottos are poorly struck coins, a no motto usually
carries a small premium to a generic, but it doesn't multiply when the
price of the coin does.

I am not a coin expert in any way, I am not a collector. I am merely an
investor and know just enough to keep the coin dealers from taking
advantage of me.

I like numismatics because they offer the best of both worlds, physical
gold AND leverage. But I also believe there is a need for bullion coins,
and of course gold stocks.

Currently I feel silver will outperform gold and I am busy accumulating
MS/66 Morgan Silver dollars (about $190.00 with a 1989 high of over
$1400.00). Same reasoning applies.

I hope to parlay silver profits to gold profits and retire!!! ; )

Happy investing.



To: Bill Ounce who wrote (3918)12/12/1997 2:03:00 PM
From: Bill Ounce  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116900
 
Gold's a Loser, Great! -- Tony Keyes

y2ktimebomb.com

Excerpt:

Recently, gold has hit its 12 year low. Over the past several weeks it has been trading below $300. What a buying opportunity! Perhaps you think I'm crazy, but gold has a longer history of being a solid performer than it has for being an outdated relic of the "old paradigm" of business cycles.

Gold is trading at levels now where it represents a good buy on general principals of diversification. Yet when one applies the accelerant of Y2K, the returns could be earth shattering.

[...]