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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: 2MAR$ who wrote (101997)7/23/2013 8:50:54 AM
From: Cogito Ergo Sum1 Recommendation

Recommended By
RJA_

  Respond to of 217561
 
Steeley Dan ? Go back Jack.. Do it Again ?



To: 2MAR$ who wrote (101997)7/23/2013 6:29:32 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217561
 
look-see fnv slw rgld

and in the mean time we watch & brief, and maintain sense of humor even as we discover why miner use a lot of four-letters word, the same word over and again, then once more and twice again ... :0)

From: J
Sent: Wednesday, July 24, 2013 6:23 AM
Subject: Re: Comments - Week of July 15

under the circumstance, ideally

gold rises,
silver goes ballistic,
economies go dire,
cities on fire,
south africa goes revolutionary
platinum goes scarce
confiscation commences in earnest everywhere where english common law is absent
australian dollar dives
to find mates, women of all ages decide they need to fix the slightest bit of imperfection in their dental structure
and they all come to hk island to mingle amongst the refugees imbibing in lang kwai fong after getting teeth fixed
then china announces the start of construction of the first of 50 singapore-dimensioned mega cities

ideally

and so we wait

as socially unconscionable as above scenario may seem, am of the belief that after the initial pain, the world shall give rise to a better future

amen

statement disclosing conflict of interest: ... oh, never mind, yes, am conflicted in some serious ways

separately from the above e-mail, some good news ...

online.wsj.com

Australian Dollar's Drop Boosts Miners
SYDNEY—Australia's iron-ore producers have staggered in the face of weaker prices, rising costs and anxiety over China's slowdown, but the recent sharp drop in the Australian dollar is helping them recover some swagger.

The longest slide for the country's currency since the financial crisis is boosting the bottom lines of large miners, such as BHP Billiton BHP.AU +0.97% and Rio Tinto, RIO.AU +0.37% as well as of smaller players, including Atlas Iron Ltd. AGO.AU -6.18% and Mount Gibson Iron MGX.AU -0.85% Ltd.. Many are expected to report earnings next month.

The Aussie has slid 11% in the past three months to around 92 U.S. cents after soaring above parity with the U.S. dollar in 2010 and trading near historical highs for much of the past three years.

The larger iron-ore producers, who tend to report results in U.S. dollars, are benefiting from the resulting sharp drop in Australian costs, such as wages and taxes. Their smaller rivals, meanwhile, are getting a boost when repatriating their U.S.-denominated earnings.

"We've had a period where the Aussie held up very strongly and really took some time to catch up with what commodities have done, so this is no doubt a positive," said Matt Riordan, a Sydney-based money manager at Paradice Investment Management. "The question is where the currency and commodity prices go from here."

Once the engine of Australia's economy, helping the nation stave off recession during the global financial crisis, the mining industry has been hurt by a sharp slowdown in prices of many commodities. That partly reflects cooling economic growth in China, Australia's biggest trading partner and the biggest buyer of its raw materials.

At the height of worries about a hard landing in China last year, iron ore's price fell below US$87 a metric ton. That was less than half the record of US$191.90 reached in early 2011 for the steel ingredient. Despite an uptick in recent weeks, iron ore's price is still about 17% below its high this year, which was reached in February. But in Australian dollars, the price has dropped just 7%. Iron ore currently is trading around US$131 a ton, according to the Steel Index.

"With today's exchange rate, it is 143 Australian dollars a ton" compared with around A$127 a ton three months ago, said Mount Gibson Chief Executive Jim Beyer. "The drop in the Aussie dollar is effectively giving us a A$16-a-ton free kick. That's very good news for us."

In recent months, global investors anticipating a pullback in monetary stimulus from Washington drove the U.S. dollar up against other currencies, but the gain against the Aussie was particularly sharp. UBS AG UBSN.VX -0.72% recently lowered its estimate for the Australian dollar to an average of 97 U.S. cents this year from an earlier forecast of US$1.04. Several big producers, including BHP, have canceled or delayed projects, closed mines and placed assets for sale in recent months as commodity prices fell.

For the smaller players, the main benefit from the Aussie's weakness has been to revenue.

"It goes straight to our bottom line," Mr. Beyer said. "Apart from diesel fuel, the majority of our costs are Australian-dollar based."

Mount Gibson last year estimated that a 10% drop in the Aussie could add as much as A$1 million to profit.

BC Iron Ltd. BCI.AU +3.09% Managing Director Morgan Ball said the softer currency helped the company pay lenders almost triple what was required last month.

BHP this year estimated that its annual profit could be bolstered by as much as US$110 million for each one-cent gain in the U.S. currency against the Aussie. That should ensure a significant boost to its earnings, given that the Australian currency has fallen from as high as US$1.06 this year. BHP and Rio Tinto announced record iron-ore production from their Australian mines last week.

There is no guarantee that the Aussie will remain near its current level or fall further, however, and iron-ore prices are vulnerable to further declines after a bumpy year so far.

Some commodity analysts have said they see iron ore slumping to US$90 a ton or lower as supply increases and China's growth continues to soften. UBS analysts have said they expect iron ore to average US$100 a ton between July and September, down from an average US$118 in the preceding three months.



To: 2MAR$ who wrote (101997)7/26/2013 5:03:39 AM
From: average joe  Respond to of 217561
 
Canadian bankers feeling the pain of ‘decimated’ mining sector Facebook | Twitter | Email | Instapaper

Liezel Hill and Doug Alexander, Bloomberg News
Thursday, Jul. 25, 2013


Mining companies could find it even harder down the road to finance exploration drilling and mine development. Ty Wright/Bloomberg

The downturn in the mining industry is beginning to ripple through brokerage firms and investment banks in Canada.

One small brokerage firm, Fraser Mackenzie Ltd., closed earlier this year. Casimir Capital Ltd., a closely held investment bank, has cut jobs on its mining team and is shifting its focus to energy companies. Even Toronto-Dominion Bank, Canada’s second largest lender by assets, has moved investment bankers into other areas.

Bill Vlaad, a financial services recruiter, says requests to find bankers to work with mining and natural resources companies are drying up. Those searches now represent less than 10% of his business, down from half of his work three years ago. Mark Morabito, chairman of Canadian mining company Alderon Iron Ore Corp., says he’s getting a steady stream of e-mails from bankers who are getting fired.

“I’m now dealing with the top guys, the global heads of mining, because the guys in between are all gone,” Morabito said in an interview. “Toronto is just a dead zone.”

Though the job cuts have been relatively small so far, many in the finance industry expect a bigger wave of reductions as well as consolidation, especially among boutique financial firms. If the number of such firms shrinks, mining companies could find it even harder down the road to finance exploration drilling and mine development.

Metals Slump

During the multiyear boom in commodity prices that followed the global financial crisis, these securities firms grew as mining companies easily tapped the Canadian stock markets for financing. About half the world’s mining companies have their headquarters in Canada — producers of copper, gold, iron ore and zinc — and most of the industry’s stock sales go through Toronto.

Equity financing, one of the few options for speculative companies searching for the next big mine, is now shrinking amid a slump in metals prices. Gold futures in New York have dropped 21% this year while copper is down 13%.

The total value of mining equity sales in Canada declined in 2012 and fell more sharply in the first part of this year, particularly among the small and midsize explorers and developers.

Financial firms that serve these companies are under pressure. The picture will “probably get uglier before it gets better,” for securities firms, said Michael Graham, who worked in institutional equity sales at Stonecap Securities Inc., in a June 13 phone interview.

Fewer Deals

“Everybody is talking to everyone in terms of do we get together, do we fold?” he said. “I think the reality is that everybody is going to cut people.”

Graham left Stonecap, a Toronto-based investment dealer, in early June to help with an initial public offering for a small energy company and plans to reassess his options at the end of the summer.

The number of employees at securities firms in Canada fell in the first quarter to its lowest level since 2006, according to the Investment Industry Association of Canada, which represents the nation’s securities firms. Ian Russell, the association’s chief executive officer, said in April that more than a third of Canada’s 185 boutique firms had lost money in the last two years.

Their revenue from financing of natural resources companies is dwindling. The number of equity offerings by mining companies in Canada peaked in 2011 at 858 and fell to 451 in 2012. There have been just 119 deals this year, raising US$856.6-million, compared with US$6.5-billion in the whole of 2012 and an annual peak of US$13.5-billion in 2009, according to data compiled by Bloomberg News.

Distressed Situations

“You’ve just seen a complete collapse in expansion, project development, capital raising,” Russell said in a July 4 telephone interview.

Fraser Mackenzie, which employed as many as 80 people, probably won’t be the last firm to close, said Vlaad, the recruiter.

“For the smaller firms, the ones that have been focused in mining and oil and gas, the word on the street is it’s even more draconian than just cutting a body,” he said.

Fraser Mackenzie considered merging with another firm before announcing it would fold on April 29. Mark Polubiec, its CEO, said most of his competitors were in distressed situations and he didn’t want to be the “sugar daddy” to prop up another’s balance sheet.

‘Absolutely Decimated’

“We were losing money like everybody else on the street as it relates to the small-cap resource market,” Polubiec said in a telephone interview after the announcement. “This is the first time in a long time, in my 33 years in the business, that I’ve essentially been unable to feel any certainty whatsoever when things will change.”

Casimir cut 18 jobs, or about half the workforce, including a “significant chunk” of its mining group, said acting CEO Adam Thomas. He’s part of an employee group that agreed to buy 75% of the investment bank in Canada.

The mining sector has just been absolutely decimated

“The mining sector has just been absolutely decimated,” Thomas said by phone Wednesday. “I’m an oil and gas guy, I’ve never touched mining and I’m kind of grateful to be in this space right now.”

Toronto-Dominion Bank has moved bankers from resources into areas such as real estate investment trusts and utilities, Patrick Meneley, head of global investment banking at the lender’s TD Securities Inc. unit, said in a June 5 interview.

Mining Stocks

Securities firms, banks and law firms may be reluctant to cut jobs rapidly from their natural resources groups because of what happened during the global financial crisis. Commodities prices plunged and pulled down mining stocks, but the rebound in share prices and financings was swift and strong, said Andrew Pollard, president of the Mining Recruitment Group in Vancouver.

“I think 2008 is still really in the minds of executives,” he said in a June 11 phone interview, “and they are doing what they can to just sort of hunker down and get through it without having to make the same sorts of cuts,”

Signs of strain extend well beyond the lawyers, accountants and bankers that help with financings, said Michael White, CEO of IBK Capital Corp., a closely held investment bank.

“It’s also the drillers and geophysical companies, consulting companies, the engineering companies,” he said. “Everybody’s feeling it.”

www.bloomberg.com



To: 2MAR$ who wrote (101997)7/26/2013 5:52:23 AM
From: average joe  Respond to of 217561
 
The Lundin Family trust owns a majority interest in this company.

northarrowminerals.com

They are just winding up July exploration drilling in order to exercise their option.