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Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Road Walker who wrote (135145)7/28/2013 1:18:59 PM
From: tejek  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 149317
 
AS Americans, we’ve been raised on the notion that any child could dream of becoming president. But when you see how much “fun” Barack Obama and his immediate predecessors have had in that job — and when you look at where the most exciting innovations in governance are happening — how long will it be before our kids, when asked what they want to be when they grow up, answer: “I want to be a mayor.” Except in Detroit, mayors today have more fun.

Yup. In most countries cities are the places to be..........that's where the most valuable land is........where the upper classes live. The US was the exception in the latter half of the 20th century........hollowed out by white flight and corps moving to the suburbs...........most American cities were considered dangerous and unlivable. However, in the last 20 years that has started to change. Our better cities........ones like NY, SF, Seattle, DC, Portland, Boston, Denver, SLC........began to gain population again after losing population for decades. Even Pittsburgh is starting to grow again. Chicago, NY and Detroit have seen several corps relocate back into the city. For the first time in decades, DC may not be majority black any more. Blacks are expected to make up less than half the population sometime during this decade after peaking at 70% of the population in 1970. The same thing is happening in Atlanta. Seattle is having to activate schools that were mothballed as late as 2006 to meet its growing school population and now there is talk of opening an elementary school in the downtown area to satisfy the growing DT family population.

And DT after DT is experiencing a residential population boom. Cleveland and Detroit both experienced population losses in the last decade even as their DT residential populations grew dramatically. In the 1990s, DT LA had less than 10K people living there. Today, the population is close to 50K and is growing rapidly. That's LA......the city notoriously known for being a series of suburbs looking for a center. Target has opened DT stores in SF, LA, Seattle, Portland and plans to take their urban concept and build across the country. Streetcars and light rail are making a comeback in city after city. Salt Lake City [SLC], located in red Utah, has one of the best mass transit systems in the country......a system that is growing very quickly.

Yes, its a very exciting time to be a mayor of an American city.



To: Road Walker who wrote (135145)7/28/2013 1:20:52 PM
From: tejek  Respond to of 149317
 
Detroit Postmortem

Forget all of the obituaries filled with talk of brain drain and population decline. Magical things are still happening in Detroit.


July 19, 2013 • By Jim Russell3 Comments


Detroit is dead. The bankruptcy filing is the death certificate. After performing the autopsy, I’ve determined upward mobility killed Detroit.

I’m not the only coroner on the case. Brad Plummer (Washington Post) with a leading cause, brain drain: “Since 2000, Detroit’s population has declined 26 percent. There are now just 706,000 people in the city, way down from 1.85 million during its industrial heyday in 1950.”

Demographic decline is like too much salt. We lack a clear link to an existential threat. Indeed, the city’s population has fallen dramatically. Well, many Rust Belt cities have experienced a drop in population. They aren’t dead. Far from it. In 1950, metro (city and suburbs) Detroit’s population was over three million people. Fast forwarding to 2010, suburban Detroit (sans city) had a population over three million people. See this report from Data Driven Detroit.

Metro Detroit’s population peaked in 1970, hovering near four million for the last few decades. In other words, it has grown by more than 30 percent since the supposed heyday of the 1950s. How so not Rust Belt. How so not dying.

Suburban Detroit is a success story. It’s the greatest suburban success story in the United States. Since 1950, statistically speaking, for every person who “left” the City of Detroit, two people “showed up” in the suburbs in 2010. Per Global Detroit, immigrants overwhelming prefer the suburban to the urban. Metro Detroit is diverse and vibrant, entrepreneurial. Bloomberg View blogger and fellow coroner Evan Soltas didn’t get the memo:

Detroit forgot the economic case for cities: When you put different industries and different people with different ideas in close contact with another, magical things happen.

“Magical things” is, of course, the technical term economists use for a number of spillover benefits created by urban areas. Their work suggests that the magic happens mainly from the mix of ideas.

And for economists and historians, the irony is rich: Detroit was the textbook example of these urban spillovers before World War II. The textbook was Jane Jacobs’s, an urban sociologist who rose to fame in the 1960s.

The magic things allowed many people the means to get out. Everyone wanted to leave the magical city. Fortunately for Detroit, people can come into close contact with each other and live in the suburbs. It’s called commuting. As for the supposed density dividend, we’ve already disposed of that nonsense here.

Without migration, ideas don’t mix. The quality of network is more important than quantity of connections. Those suburban immigrant neighborhoods are economic dynamos. Magical things are happening there, in Detroit. The residents of the city are isolated from all the action, density be damned.

psmag.com



To: Road Walker who wrote (135145)7/28/2013 1:47:42 PM
From: tejek  Respond to of 149317
 
I hope these numbers are exaggerated..........but if there is any validity to them, the gridlock has got to stop...........econ. problems like these have to be dealt with on a national level.


80 Percent Of U.S. Adults Face Near-Poverty, Unemployment: Survey


By HOPE YEN 07/28/13 11:58 AM ET EDT

WASHINGTON — Four out of 5 U.S. adults struggle with joblessness, near-poverty or reliance on welfare for at least parts of their lives, a sign of deteriorating economic security and an elusive American dream.

Survey data exclusive to The Associated Press points to an increasingly globalized U.S. economy, the widening gap between rich and poor, and the loss of good-paying manufacturing jobs as reasons for the trend.

The findings come as President Barack Obama tries to renew his administration's emphasis on the economy, saying in recent speeches that his highest priority is to "rebuild ladders of opportunity" and reverse income inequality.

As nonwhites approach a numerical majority in the U.S., one question is how public programs to lift the disadvantaged should be best focused – on the affirmative action that historically has tried to eliminate the racial barriers seen as the major impediment to economic equality, or simply on improving socioeconomic status for all, regardless of race.

Hardship is particularly growing among whites, based on several measures. Pessimism among that racial group about their families' economic futures has climbed to the highest point since at least 1987. In the most recent AP-GfK poll, 63 percent of whites called the economy "poor."

"I think it's going to get worse," said Irene Salyers, 52, of Buchanan County, Va., a declining coal region in Appalachia. Married and divorced three times, Salyers now helps run a fruit and vegetable stand with her boyfriend but it doesn't generate much income. They live mostly off government disability checks.

"If you do try to go apply for a job, they're not hiring people, and they're not paying that much to even go to work," she said. Children, she said, have "nothing better to do than to get on drugs."

While racial and ethnic minorities are more likely to live in poverty, race disparities in the poverty rate have narrowed substantially since the 1970s, census data show. Economic insecurity among whites also is more pervasive than is shown in the government's poverty data, engulfing more than 76 percent of white adults by the time they turn 60, according to a new economic gauge being published next year by the Oxford University Press.

The gauge defines "economic insecurity" as a year or more of periodic joblessness, reliance on government aid such as food stamps or income below 150 percent of the poverty line. Measured across all races, the risk of economic insecurity rises to 79 percent.

Marriage rates are in decline across all races, and the number of white mother-headed households living in poverty has risen to the level of black ones.

"It's time that America comes to understand that many of the nation's biggest disparities, from education and life expectancy to poverty, are increasingly due to economic class position," said William Julius Wilson, a Harvard professor who specializes in race and poverty. He noted that despite continuing economic difficulties, minorities have more optimism about the future after Obama's election, while struggling whites do not.

"There is the real possibility that white alienation will increase if steps are not taken to highlight and address inequality on a broad front," Wilson said.

___

Nationwide, the count of America's poor remains stuck at a record number: 46.2 million, or 15 percent of the population, due in part to lingering high unemployment following the recession. While poverty rates for blacks and Hispanics are nearly three times higher, by absolute numbers the predominant face of the poor is white.

More than 19 million whites fall below the poverty line of $23,021 for a family of four, accounting for more than 41 percent of the nation's destitute, nearly double the number of poor blacks.

Sometimes termed "the invisible poor" by demographers, lower-income whites generally are dispersed in suburbs as well as small rural towns, where more than 60 percent of the poor are white. Concentrated in Appalachia in the East, they are numerous in the industrial Midwest and spread across America's heartland, from Missouri, Arkansas and Oklahoma up through the Great Plains.

Buchanan County, in southwest Virginia, is among the nation's most destitute based on median income, with poverty hovering at 24 percent. The county is mostly white, as are 99 percent of its poor.

More than 90 percent of Buchanan County's inhabitants are working-class whites who lack a college degree. Higher education long has been seen there as nonessential to land a job because well-paying mining and related jobs were once in plentiful supply. These days many residents get by on odd jobs and government checks.

Salyers' daughter, Renee Adams, 28, who grew up in the region, has two children. A jobless single mother, she relies on her live-in boyfriend's disability checks to get by. Salyers says it was tough raising her own children as it is for her daughter now, and doesn't even try to speculate what awaits her grandchildren, ages 4 and 5.

Smoking a cigarette in front of the produce stand, Adams later expresses a wish that employers will look past her conviction a few years ago for distributing prescription painkillers, so she can get a job and have money to "buy the kids everything they need."

"It's pretty hard," she said. "Once the bills are paid, we might have $10 to our name."

___

Census figures provide an official measure of poverty, but they're only a temporary snapshot that doesn't capture the makeup of those who cycle in and out of poverty at different points in their lives. They may be suburbanites, for example, or the working poor or the laid off.

In 2011 that snapshot showed 12.6 percent of adults in their prime working-age years of 25-60 lived in poverty. But measured in terms of a person's lifetime risk, a much higher number – 4 in 10 adults – falls into poverty for at least a year of their lives.

The risks of poverty also have been increasing in recent decades, particularly among people ages 35-55, coinciding with widening income inequality. For instance, people ages 35-45 had a 17 percent risk of encountering poverty during the 1969-1989 time period; that risk increased to 23 percent during the 1989-2009 period. For those ages 45-55, the risk of poverty jumped from 11.8 percent to 17.7 percent.

Higher recent rates of unemployment mean the lifetime risk of experiencing economic insecurity now runs even higher: 79 percent, or 4 in 5 adults, by the time they turn 60.

By race, nonwhites still have a higher risk of being economically insecure, at 90 percent. But compared with the official poverty rate, some of the biggest jumps under the newer measure are among whites, with more than 76 percent enduring periods of joblessness, life on welfare or near-poverty.

By 2030, based on the current trend of widening income inequality, close to 85 percent of all working-age adults in the U.S. will experience bouts of economic insecurity.

"Poverty is no longer an issue of `them', it's an issue of `us'," says Mark Rank, a professor at Washington University in St. Louis who calculated the numbers. "Only when poverty is thought of as a mainstream event, rather than a fringe experience that just affects blacks and Hispanics, can we really begin to build broader support for programs that lift people in need."

The numbers come from Rank's analysis being published by the Oxford University Press. They are supplemented with interviews and figures provided to the AP by Tom Hirschl, a professor at Cornell University; John Iceland, a sociology professor at Penn State University; the University of New Hampshire's Carsey Institute; the Census Bureau; and the Population Reference Bureau.

Among the findings:

_For the first time since 1975, the number of white single-mother households living in poverty with children surpassed or equaled black ones in the past decade, spurred by job losses and faster rates of out-of-wedlock births among whites. White single-mother families in poverty stood at nearly 1.5 million in 2011, comparable to the number for blacks. Hispanic single-mother families in poverty trailed at 1.2 million.

_Since 2000, the poverty rate among working-class whites has grown faster than among working-class nonwhites, rising 3 percentage points to 11 percent as the recession took a bigger toll among lower-wage workers. Still, poverty among working-class nonwhites remains higher, at 23 percent.

_The share of children living in high-poverty neighborhoods – those with poverty rates of 30 percent or more – has increased to 1 in 10, putting them at higher risk of teenage pregnancy or dropping out of school. Non-Hispanic whites accounted for 17 percent of the child population in such neighborhoods, compared with 13 percent in 2000, even though the overall proportion of white children in the U.S. has been declining.

The share of black children in high-poverty neighborhoods dropped from 43 percent to 37 percent, while the share of Latino children went from 38 percent to 39 percent.

_Race disparities in health and education have narrowed generally since the 1960s. While residential segregation remains high, a typical black person now lives in a nonmajority black neighborhood for the first time. Previous studies have shown that wealth is a greater predictor of standardized test scores than race; the test-score gap between rich and low-income students is now nearly double the gap between blacks and whites.

___

Going back to the 1980s, never have whites been so pessimistic about their futures, according to the General Social Survey, a biannual survey conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago. Just 45 percent say their family will have a good chance of improving their economic position based on the way things are in America.

The divide is especially evident among those whites who self-identify as working class. Forty-nine percent say they think their children will do better than them, compared with 67 percent of nonwhites who consider themselves working class, even though the economic plight of minorities tends to be worse.

Although they are a shrinking group, working-class whites – defined as those lacking a college degree – remain the biggest demographic bloc of the working-age population. In 2012, Election Day exit polls conducted for the AP and the television networks showed working-class whites made up 36 percent of the electorate, even with a notable drop in white voter turnout.

Last November, Obama won the votes of just 36 percent of those noncollege whites, the worst performance of any Democratic nominee among that group since Republican Ronald Reagan's 1984 landslide victory over Walter Mondale.

Some Democratic analysts have urged renewed efforts to bring working-class whites into the political fold, calling them a potential "decisive swing voter group" if minority and youth turnout level off in future elections. "In 2016 GOP messaging will be far more focused on expressing concern for `the middle class' and `average Americans,'" Andrew Levison and Ruy Teixeira wrote recently in The New Republic.

"They don't trust big government, but it doesn't mean they want no government," says Republican pollster Ed Goeas, who agrees that working-class whites will remain an important electoral group. His research found that many of them would support anti-poverty programs if focused broadly on job training and infrastructure investment. This past week, Obama pledged anew to help manufacturers bring jobs back to America and to create jobs in the energy sectors of wind, solar and natural gas.

"They feel that politicians are giving attention to other people and not them," Goeas said.

___

AP Director of Polling Jennifer Agiesta, News Survey Specialist Dennis Junius and AP writer Debra McCown in Buchanan County, Va., contributed to this report.

huffingtonpost.com