To: Paul Senior who wrote (51982 ) 8/2/2013 12:46:26 PM From: E_K_S Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78644 Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI) - Started a small speculative position as company now sells at Book Value due to recent sell off. Company Web site: goo.gl From their web site history: We observed that potash from Moab shared markets with potash produced in Carlsbad, New Mexico and in Wendover, Utah. Accordingly, we formulated a strategy to acquire assets in those areas in order to consolidate marketing efforts and effect operating synergies. We acquired the assets of Mississippi Potash, Inc. and Eddy Potash, Inc. in Carlsbad, New Mexico from Mississippi Chemical Company in February 2004. In April 2004, we acquired the potash assets of Reilly Chemical, Inc. in Wendover, Utah. Intrepid owns five active potash production facilities—three in New Mexico (referenced collectively as ‘‘Carlsbad’’ or individually as ‘‘West,’’ ‘‘East,’’ and ‘‘North’’) and two in Utah (‘‘Moab’’ and ‘‘Wendover’’)—and has a current estimated productive capacity to produce approximately 870,000 tons of potash and approximately 200,000 tons of langbeinite annually. Hi Paul - This is a fertilizer (Potash) that recently sold off due to Russia announcing they no longer plan on holding world Potash prices at fixed rates (higher than market). As a result all Potash suppliers sold off (IPI off more than 40%) due to possible lower future prices and margins. IPI is now selling close to BV (BV @ $12.22/share) which as a value investor peaks my interest. I started a small speculative buy w/ plans to buy more especially if/when this one sells significantly below their stated BV. With Potash, one of the biggest expenses is in the transportation costs to get the product to your customers. My thesis is, IPI is a relatively small company (market cap $961mln) located in Colorado (ie. inside U.S. market) could become a potential buyout candidate to the much larger supplier if IPI sells significantly below their BV. Typically these other fertilizer producers are diversified and have operations all over the world and sell only at a slight premium to their BV so it is the location of IPI's reserves (ie. located in the mid-west U.S.) that becomes the "value" proposition (at least for me). Current PE is around 11 and could move higher if/when potash prices fall. I have not done too much research but since you follow these fertilizer companies maybe you have an opinion on the current opportunity. The other outcome is that prices fall so much that IPI closes all operations and goes out of business. What's your take? EKS