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Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: koan who wrote (135931)8/19/2013 8:59:25 AM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 149317
 
Time’s Senior National Correspondent Calls for Julian Assange to be Killed by Drone
by Barry Ritholtz - August 19th, 2013, 1:30am

Government Deals with Embarrassing Information By Targeting Whistleblowers … and JournalistsTime Magazine’s senior national correspondent Michael Grunwald tweeted tonight:

I can’t wait to write a defense of the drone strike that takes out [Wikileaks founder] Julian Assange

What should we make of his statement? It’s not Grunwald as an individual … it’s the mindset of the entire political class.

Under both Bush and Obama, when bad government policy leads to bad results, the government manipulates the data … instead of changing policy.

As part of that effort – on the one hand – “reporters” who never criticize the government in more than a superficial fashion are protected and rewarded. And the government has repealed long-standing laws against using propaganda against Americans on U.S. soil. And the government also manipulates social media. More proof here and here.

On the other hand, the government has taken to protecting criminal wrongdoing by attacking whistleblowers … and any journalists who have the nerve to report on the beans spilled by the whistleblowers.

The Obama administration has prosecuted more whistleblowers than all other presidents combined.

And it goes out of its way to smear whistleblowers, threaten reporters who discuss whistleblower information and harass honest analysts.

As we noted last year:
Wikileaks’ head Julian Assange could face the death penalty for his heinous crime of leaking whistleblower information which make those in power uncomfortable … i.e. being a reporter.
Establishment figures – such as Andrew Sorkin and David Gregory – have also called for Glenn Greenwald (the reporter who broke NSA contractor Edward Snowden’s story) to be arrested.

Journalism is not only being criminalized in America, but investigative reporting is actually treated like terrorism.

The government admits that journalists could be targeted with counter-terrorism laws (and here). For example, after Pulitzer Prize winning journalist Chris Hedges, journalist Naomi Wolf, Pentagon Papers whistleblower Daniel Ellsberg and others sued the government to enjoin the NDAA’s allowance of the indefinite detention of Americans – the judge asked the government attorneys 5 times whether journalists like Hedges could be indefinitely detained simply for interviewing and then writing about bad guys. The government refused to promise that journalists like Hedges won’t be thrown in a dungeon for the rest of their lives without any right to talk to a judge

After the government’s spying on the Associated Press made it clear to everyone that the government is trying to put a chill journalism, the senior national-security correspondent for Newsweek tweeted:
Serious idea. Instead of calling it Obama’s war on whistleblowers, let’s just call it what it is: Obama’s war on journalism.
Moreover:

The Pentagon recently smeared USA Today reporters because they investigated illegal Pentagon propagandaReporters covering the Occupy protests were targeted for arrestThe Bush White House worked hard to smear CIA officers, bloggers and anyone else who criticized the Iraq warIn an effort to protect Bank of America from the threatened Wikileaks expose of the bank’s wrongdoing, the Department of Justice told Bank of America to a hire a specific hardball-playing law firm to assemble a team to take down WikiLeaks (and see this)And the American government has been instrumental in locking up journalists in America (and here), Yemen and elsewhere for the crime of embarrassing the U.S. government.

Journalists are being killed all over the world for embarrassing local governments.

(Even top U.S. government wonder whether the same thing is happening in America.)

Postscript: Grunwald subsequently deleted the tweet, because it helped Assange’s supporters. But the problem was never Grunwald as an individual … but the commitment of the entire elite political class to silence voices of dissent.



To: koan who wrote (135931)8/19/2013 9:16:21 AM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 149317
 
The Trends Few Dare Discuss: Social Security And The Decline In Full-Time Employment

oftwominds.com

Believing official reassurances based on Fantasyland projections of ever-rising payroll taxes and employment does not magically make the Social Security system viable.

Questioning the financial viability of the Social Security system is often taken as an attack on the program itself. Nothing could be further from reality. Anyone who truly wants Social Security to continue as is should take an active interest in structural trends rather than focusing all their energy on attacking those who question the official reassurances that the the system is sound until 2033.

The two primary trends are obvious:

1. A structural decline in full-time employment

2. A historically unprecedented increase in Social Security benefits paid

Take a look at this chart I prepared from St. Louis Federal Reserve and Social Security Administration (SSA) data: Social Security beneficiaries, by year



Notice that the ratio of full-time workers to SSA beneficiaries was comfortably higher than 2-to-1 for decades. Simply put, the number of full-time workers rose at roughly the same rate as the number of people drawing SSA benefits.

The full-time worker/beneficiary ratio was 2.56 in 1970 and 2.49 in 2000--basically the same ratio held for 30 years as full-time employment expanded along with the number of SSA beneficiaries.

But the trendlines are separating as the number of people drawing SSA benefits is soaring while the number of full-time jobs is stagnating. The increase in beneficiaries fro 1970 to 1980 was a steep 9.8 million, but full-time jobs increased by about 16 million despite the stagflationary economy.

The increases in beneficiaries in the next two decades was modest: 4.3 million more between 1980 and 1990, and 5.6 million more between 1990 and 2000. Meanwhile, the economy added roughly 30 million full-time jobs over those two decades.

The increase in beneficiaries between 2000 and 2010 was almost 10 million, while the number of full-time jobs in 2010 actually declined from 2000.

The ratio of full-time workers to SSA beneficiaries is now 2-to-1 and will fall below 2-to-1 as the number of beneficiaries rises.

The recession of 2008-9 revealed a deeply structural decline in full-time employment. Why focus on full-time employment? Only full-time workers pay enough payroll taxes to fund the system. Around 38 million workers make less than $10,000 a year, which means the SSA contributions they and their employers pay is on the order of $1,000 or so a year.

Workers paying in $1,000 or so a year (adjusted for inflation) will receive far more than their contributions in benefits, and so the system depends on higher-income workers.

The problem is full-time work is in structural decline for a number of reasons that aren't going away: globalization, robotics, advances in software, fast-rising cost of employee healthcare benefits and so on. We can clearly see this structural decline in these charts:

Here is full-time employees as a percentage of the population, courtesy of Lance Roberts:



The same trend in a chart of civilian employment, which includes part-time jobs:



Labor's share of the economy is in near-freefall:



Notice the trajectory of Social Security benefits: to the moon, while full-time employment has stagnated.



The Social Security system ran a $55 billion deficit in 2012, meaning that payroll tax receipts did not cover benefits paid. (Recall that SSA is "pay as you go," meaning that current taxpayers fund the benefits paid to current beneficiaries.)

The fiction of the Trust Fund enables some intergovernmental sleight-of-hand, as the Treasury borrows money on the global bond market and pays the SSA interest on the fictional Trust Fund, but the bottom line is that the SSA deficit is funded by the Treasury borrowing money by selling Treasury bonds.

If the global economy slides into recession in the years ahead, as seems increasingly likely, full-time employment in the U.S. could slip to 100 million while the number of beneficiaries continues to soar by 10+ million a decade. All the official projections assume steady, strong increases in payroll taxes and full-time employment; the system's deficits will explode higher if full-time employment sags while the number of beneficiaries increases from 57 million to 70 million and then on to 80 and 90 million.

Anyone who cares about the viability of Social Security had better wake up to the widening divergence of full-time employment and SSA beneficiaries.

Believing official reassurances based on Fantasyland projections of ever-rising payroll taxes and employment does not magically make the system viable.